Chelsea 0-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 76% – 24%
- Shots 21 (2 on target) – 7 (3)
- Decisive moment: 48' Anthony Elanga, FN xPts +1.0
HT 0:0
Anthony Elanga 48'
Chelsea 10th → 11th · 4 pts|Nottingham Forest 14th → 8th · 6 pts
Chelsea edged xG (2.3–0.76) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchWilly BolyDecisive moment48' Anthony Elanga+1.0
Player of the match
Willy Boly Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.5 (Strong)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 0 min · level 48 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 42 min
- Anthony Elanga — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
48'
Anthony Elanga
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Taiwo Awoniyi +0.3
+1.0
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −1.3→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +1.0Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaNottingham Forest
76%Possession24%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.76
0.11xG per shot0.11
21Shots7
2Shots on target3
10%Shots on target %43%
11Shots in box4
713Passes230
89%Pass accuracy62%
7Corners0
2Saves2
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards4
2Offsides3
Compared with usual
Chelsea
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2.3 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.76 | 0.88 | |
| Shots | 21 | 17.3 | |
| On target | 2 | 6.3 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 76% | 73% | |
| Passes | 713 | 731 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 89.5% | |
| Corners | 7 | 7.3 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 9 |
Nottingham Forest
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 0.76 | 0.94 | |
| xG against | 2.3 | 1 | |
| Shots | 7 | 9.5 | |
| On target | 3 | 2.5 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 12.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 24% | 36.5% | |
| Passes | 230 | 322 | |
| Pass accuracy | 62% | 72.8% | |
| Corners | 0 | 3.8 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 10.3 |
Timeline
- 31' Yellow Ben Chilwell
- 36' Yellow Nicolas Jackson
- 41' Yellow Ola Aina
- 43' Yellow Conor Gallagher
- 45+2' Sub Danilo → Anthony Elanga
- 48' Goal Anthony Elanga league goal #1 assist Taiwo Awoniyi
- 61' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 62' Sub Ben Chilwell → Noni Madueke
- 62' Sub Conor Gallagher → Cole Palmer
- 65' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Chris Wood
- 72' Sub Serge Aurier → Gonzalo Montiel
- 72' Sub Orel Mangala → Nuno Tavares
- 73' Sub Ola Aina → Cheikhou Kouyaté
- 77' Sub Moisés Caicedo → Ian Maatsen
- 77' Sub Malo Gusto → Mykhaylo Mudryk
- 86' Yellow Nuno Tavares
- 90+8' Yellow Matt Turner
Category leaders
- Key passesEnzo Fernández3
- Duels wonRyan Yates9/17
- DribblesNicolas Jackson5/6
- Defensive actionsRyan Yates11
- ShotsAnthony Elanga3 (on target 3)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.