Aston Villa 3-1 Crystal Palace
Key numbers
- Possession 67% – 33%
- Shots 16 (5 on target) – 6 (3)
- Decisive moment: 90+8' Douglas Luiz, FN xPts +1.7
Jhon Durán 87'
Douglas Luiz 90+8' (pen)
Leon Bailey 90+11'
Douglas Luiz 90+8' (pen)
Leon Bailey 90+11'
HT 0:0
Odsonne Édouard 47'
Aston Villa 10th → 7th · 9 pts|Crystal Palace 7th → 8th · 7 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.21–1.17).
Player of the matchDouglas LuizDecisive moment90+8' Douglas Luiz+1.7
Player of the match
Douglas Luiz Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 0 min · level 50 min · Crystal Palace ahead 40 min
- Leon Bailey — off the bench 33 min · 1G 0A
- Jhon Durán — off the bench 19 min · 1G 0A
- Jean-Philippe Mateta — off the bench 65 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
47'
Odsonne Édouard
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jean-Philippe Mateta +0.3
+0.9
87'
Jhon Durán
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Lucas Digne +0.3
+1.0
90+8'
Douglas Luiz
Pen goal
+1.7
90+11'
Leon Bailey
Goal · assist Moussa Diaby
+0.1
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.6→ League points won 3
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −2.6Time effect +0.5→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaCrystal Palace
67%Possession33%
3.21Expected goals (xG)1.17
0.2xG per shot0.19
16Shots6
5Shots on target3
31%Shots on target %50%
12Shots in box4
604Passes303
86%Pass accuracy75%
4Corners2
2Saves2
13Fouls9
5Yellow cards3
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 3.21 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.17 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 16 | 14.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 6.3 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 10 | |
| xG per shot | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 67% | 52.8% | |
| Passes | 604 | 501.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 10.7 |
Crystal Palace
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.17 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 3.21 | 0.94 | |
| Shots | 6 | 17 | |
| On target | 3 | 6.2 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.19 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 33% | 49.2% | |
| Passes | 303 | 442 | |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 82.8% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.4 |
Timeline
- 17' Yellow John McGinn
- 17' Yellow Eberechi Eze
- 25' Sub Jordan Ayew → Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 35' VAR Moussa Diaby
- 45+4' Yellow Nicolò Zaniolo
- 47' Goal Odsonne Édouard league goal #4 assist Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 53' Yellow Will Hughes
- 57' Sub Nicolò Zaniolo → Leon Bailey
- 58' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Youri Tielemans
- 71' Sub John McGinn → Jhon Durán
- 86' Yellow Matty Cash
- 87' Goal Jhon Durán league goal #2 assist Lucas Digne
- 90' Sub Odsonne Édouard → Naouirou Ahamada
- 90+4' VAR Ollie Watkins
- 90+8' Yellow Joel Ward
- 90+8' Goal Douglas Luiz (pen) league goal #2
- 90+9' Sub Cheick Doucouré → Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
- 90+10' Sub Ollie Watkins → Leander Dendoncker
- 90+11' Goal Leon Bailey league goal #2 assist Moussa Diaby
- 90+14' Yellow Leon Bailey
- 90+15' Yellow Jhon Durán
Category leaders
- Key passesNicolò Zaniolo3
- Duels wonEberechi Eze12/23
- DribblesEberechi Eze7/11
- Defensive actionsWill Hughes10
- ShotsOllie Watkins3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonDouglas Luiz3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.