Nottingham Forest 1-1 Burnley
Key numbers
- Possession 46% – 54%
- Shots 14 (4 on target) – 10 (3)
- Decisive moment: 41' Zeki Amdouni, FN xPts +1.0
Callum Hudson-Odoi 61'
HT 0:1
Zeki Amdouni 41'
Nottingham Forest 12th → 8th · 7 pts|Burnley 19th · 1 pt
1-1 draw, with xG at 0.71–0.55.
Player of the matchCallum Hudson-OdoiDecisive moment41' Zeki Amdouni+1.0
Player of the match
Callum Hudson-Odoi Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 70 min · Burnley ahead 20 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
41'
Zeki Amdouni
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Lyle Foster +0.3
+1.0
61'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Taiwo Awoniyi +0.3
+0.9
90+4'
Lyle Foster
Red card
−0.1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.7→ League points won 1
Burnley
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.2Time effect +0.2→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestBurnley
46%Possession54%
0.71Expected goals (xG)0.55
0.05xG per shot0.06
14Shots10
4Shots on target3
29%Shots on target %30%
6Shots in box5
407Passes487
79%Pass accuracy84%
5Corners4
2Saves3
16Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
2Offsides2
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.71 | 0.91 | |
| xG against | 0.55 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 14 | 9 | |
| On target | 4 | 2.6 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 14.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 46% | 34% | |
| Passes | 407 | 303.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 70.6% | |
| Corners | 5 | 3 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10 |
Burnley
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.8 | |
| xG | 0.55 | 0.61 | |
| xG against | 0.71 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 10 | 10.3 | |
| On target | 3 | 2.3 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 15.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Possession | 54% | 49.3% | |
| Passes | 487 | 489 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 83.3% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 12.8 |
Timeline
- 11' Yellow James Trafford
- 32' Yellow Orel Mangala
- 34' Yellow Gonzalo Montiel
- 41' Goal Zeki Amdouni league goal #1 assist Lyle Foster
- 53' Sub Gonzalo Montiel → Nuno Tavares
- 61' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #1 assist Taiwo Awoniyi
- 63' Sub Zeki Amdouni → Sander Berge
- 63' Sub Jóhann Guðmundsson → Anass Zaroury
- 71' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Divock Origi
- 71' Sub Orel Mangala → Ryan Yates
- 76' Sub Luca Koleosho → Mike Trésor
- 78' VAR Lyle Foster
- 87' Sub Jordan Beyer → Hannes Delcroix
- 88' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Chris Wood
- 90+4' Red Lyle Foster
- 90+4' VAR Lyle Foster
- 90+5' Yellow Connor Roberts
- 90+9' Yellow Josh Cullen
Category leaders
- Key passesCallum Hudson-Odoi3
- Duels wonJosh Cullen9/13
- DribblesMorgan Gibbs-White4/6
- Defensive actionsIbrahim Sangaré9
- Fouls wonJosh Cullen3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.