Luton 1-1 Wolves
Key numbers
- Possession 56% – 44%
- Shots 20 (4 on target) – 3 (3)
- Decisive moment: 50' Pedro Neto, FN xPts +1.1
Carlton Morris 65' (pen)
HT 0:0
Pedro Neto 50'
Luton 20th · 1 pt|Wolves 16th → 15th · 4 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 2.17–0.59.
Player of the matchAmari'i BellDecisive moment50' Pedro Neto+1.1
Player of the match
Amari'i Bell Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)
Game state
Luton ahead 0 min · level 75 min · Wolves ahead 15 min
- Wolves: Red card 39' → ~51 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
39'
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Red card
−0.4
50'
Pedro Neto
Goal
+1.1
65'
Carlton Morris
Pen goal
+1.0
Luton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1
Wolves
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.3Time effect +0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LutonWolves
56%Possession44%
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.59
0.11xG per shot0.2
20Shots3
4Shots on target3
20%Shots on target %100%
15Shots in box3
430Passes359
77%Pass accuracy73%
10Corners1
2Saves3
12Fouls17
0Yellow cards2
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Luton
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.4 | |
| xG | 2.17 | 0.9 | |
| xG against | 0.59 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 20 | 11.2 | |
| On target | 4 | 2.6 | |
| Shots faced | 3 | 16 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 56% | 37% | |
| Passes | 430 | 338.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 74.6% | |
| Corners | 10 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.8 |
Wolves
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 0.59 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 2.17 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 3 | 14.3 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 15 | |
| xG per shot | 0.2 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 44% | 51.8% | |
| Passes | 359 | 518.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 83.8% | |
| Corners | 1 | 3.5 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 11.2 |
Timeline
- 39' Red Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
- 45+1' Yellow João Gomes
- 46' Sub Hee-Chan Hwang → Toti Gomes
- 46' Sub Rayan Aït Nouri → Matt Doherty
- 50' Goal Pedro Neto league goal #1
- 57' Sub Albert Sambi Lokonga → Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
- 65' Goal Carlton Morris (pen) league goal #2
- 71' Sub Matheus Cunha → Boubacar Traoré
- 72' Sub Alfie Doughty → Ryan Giles
- 72' Sub Jacob Brown → Cauley Woodrow
- 84' Sub Nélson Semedo → Hugo Bueno
- 85' Sub Issa Kaboré → Elijah Adebayo
- 90' Sub João Gomes → Tommy Doyle
- 90+6' Yellow Mario Lemina
Category leaders
- Key passesAlfie Doughty5
- Duels wonMax Kilman16/18
- DribblesAmari'i Bell3/3
- Defensive actionsMarvelous Nakamba7
- ShotsCarlton Morris3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonIssa Kaboré4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.