Chelsea 0-1 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 53% – 47%
- Shots 10 (4 on target) – 15 (7)
- Decisive moment: 73' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +1.4
HT 0:0
Ollie Watkins 73'
Chelsea 14th · 5 pts|Aston Villa 7th → 6th · 12 pts
Chelsea edged xG (1.33–1.07) but Aston Villa took the win.
Player of the matchBoubacar KamaraDecisive moment73' Ollie Watkins+1.4
Player of the match
Boubacar Kamara Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 0 min · level 73 min · Aston Villa ahead 17 min
- Chelsea: Red card 58' → ~32 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
58'
Malo Gusto
Red card
−0.3
73'
Ollie Watkins
Goal
+1.4
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments −0.3Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.4Opponent moments +0.3Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaAston Villa
53%Possession47%
1.33Expected goals (xG)1.07
0.13xG per shot0.07
10Shots15
4Shots on target7
40%Shots on target %47%
7Shots in box10
443Passes388
86%Pass accuracy85%
5Corners11
6Saves4
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
10Offsides1
Compared with usual
Chelsea
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| xG | 1.33 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.07 | 0.89 | |
| Shots | 10 | 17.3 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.5 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 53% | 72.2% | |
| Passes | 443 | 704.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 89% | |
| Corners | 5 | 7.2 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11 |
Aston Villa
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.6 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.07 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.33 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 15.4 | |
| On target | 7 | 6.1 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 9.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 47% | 55.5% | |
| Passes | 388 | 513.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86.8% | |
| Corners | 11 | 4.8 | high |
| Fouls | 11 | 11 |
Timeline
- 44' Yellow Lucas Digne
- 50' Yellow Nicolas Jackson
- 56' VAR Malo Gusto
- 58' Red Malo Gusto
- 61' Sub Mykhaylo Mudryk → Ben Chilwell
- 68' Sub Enzo Fernández → Cole Palmer
- 68' Sub Nicolas Jackson → Lesley Ugochukwu
- 73' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #1
- 75' Sub Nicolò Zaniolo → Leon Bailey
- 75' Sub John McGinn → Jacob Ramsey
- 79' Sub Moisés Caicedo → Armando Broja
- 81' Sub Moussa Diaby → Youri Tielemans
- 90' Yellow Ben Chilwell
- 90' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Leander Dendoncker
- 90' Sub Ollie Watkins → Jhon Durán
- 90+1' Yellow Douglas Luiz
- 90+4' Yellow Emiliano Martínez
Category leaders
- Key passesBoubacar Kamara4
- Duels wonConor Gallagher8/9
- DribblesNicolò Zaniolo4/7
- Defensive actionsLucas Digne7
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.