Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton
Key numbers
- Possession 38% – 62%
- Shots 19 (9 on target) – 11 (3)
- Decisive moment: 14' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +0.7
Ollie Watkins 14'
Ollie Watkins 21'
Pervis Estupiñán 26' (OG)
Ollie Watkins 65'
Jacob Ramsey 85'
Douglas Luiz 90+7'
Ollie Watkins 21'
Pervis Estupiñán 26' (OG)
Ollie Watkins 65'
Jacob Ramsey 85'
Douglas Luiz 90+7'
HT 3:0
Ansu Fati 50'
Aston Villa 6th → 3rd · 15 pts|Brighton 3rd → 4th · 15 pts
Brighton edged xG (1.58–1.71) but Aston Villa took the win.
Player of the matchOllie WatkinsDecisive moment14' Ollie Watkins+0.7
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.8 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 76 min · level 14 min · Brighton ahead 0 min
- Jacob Ramsey — off the bench 33 min · 1G 0A
- Ansu Fati — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
- João Pedro — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
14'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Matty Cash +0.2
+0.7
21'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Moussa Diaby +0.2
+0.5
26'
Pervis Estupiñán
Own goal
−0.2
50'
Ansu Fati
Goal · assist João Pedro
+0.1
65'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · assist John McGinn
+0.1
85'
Jacob Ramsey
Goal · assist Ollie Watkins
0.0
90+7'
Douglas Luiz
Goal
0.0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.3Opponent moments +0.1Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Brighton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments −0.1Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaBrighton
38%Possession62%
1.58Expected goals (xG)1.71
0.08xG per shot0.16
19Shots11
9Shots on target3
47%Shots on target %27%
14Shots in box8
320Passes518
78%Pass accuracy89%
1Corners3
2Saves4
19Fouls21
4Yellow cards4
0Offsides6
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 2.3 | high |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.58 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.71 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 19 | 14.9 | |
| On target | 9 | 5.9 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 9.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 38% | 55.9% | |
| Passes | 320 | 513.5 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 86.7% | low |
| Corners | 1 | 5.3 | low |
| Fouls | 19 | 10.9 | high |
Brighton
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.5 | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1.5 | high |
| xG | 1.71 | 1.9 | |
| xG against | 1.58 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 11 | 16.8 | |
| On target | 3 | 7.1 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 11.5 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 62% | 64.1% | |
| Passes | 518 | 600.1 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 88.9% | |
| Corners | 3 | 6.9 | |
| Fouls | 21 | 11.4 | high |
Timeline
- 7' Yellow Douglas Luiz
- 14' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #2 assist Matty Cash
- 21' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #3 assist Moussa Diaby
- 26' Goal Pervis Estupiñán (OG)
- 32' Yellow Lucas Digne
- 39' Yellow Danny Welbeck
- 46' Sub Danny Welbeck → João Pedro
- 46' Sub Pervis Estupiñán → Tariq Lamptey
- 46' Sub Evan Ferguson → Ansu Fati
- 50' Goal Ansu Fati league goal #1 assist João Pedro
- 57' Yellow Ezri Konsa
- 57' Sub Nicolò Zaniolo → Jacob Ramsey
- 62' Sub Solly March → Simon Adingra
- 65' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #4 assist John McGinn
- 72' Yellow Ansu Fati
- 79' Yellow Lewis Dunk
- 79' Sub Moussa Diaby → Jhon Durán
- 84' Yellow Kaoru Mitoma
- 85' Goal Jacob Ramsey league goal #1 assist Ollie Watkins
- 86' Sub Jack Hinshelwood → Carlos Baleba
- 90' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Youri Tielemans
- 90+5' Yellow Jhon Durán
- 90+7' Goal Douglas Luiz league goal #3
Category leaders
- Key passesOllie Watkins5
- Duels wonBoubacar Kamara10/15
- DribblesMoussa Diaby4/5
- Defensive actionsMatty Cash8
- ShotsOllie Watkins5 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonBoubacar Kamara5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.