Nottingham Forest 1-1 Brentford
Key numbers
- Possession 41% – 59%
- Shots 6 (1 on target) – 18 (5)
- Decisive moment: 58' Christian Nørgaard, FN xPts +1.1
Nicolás Domínguez 65'
HT 0:0
Christian Nørgaard 58'
Nottingham Forest 12th → 11th · 8 pts|Brentford 14th → 13th · 7 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 0.46–1.66.
Player of the matchNicolás DomínguezDecisive moment58' Christian Nørgaard+1.1
Player of the match
Nicolás Domínguez Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 83 min · Brentford ahead 7 min
- Nottingham Forest: Red card 56' → ~34 min a player down
- Harry Toffolo — off the bench 30 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
56'
Moussa Niakhaté
Red card
−0.3
58'
Christian Nørgaard
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Mathias Jensen +0.3
+1.1
65'
Nicolás Domínguez
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Harry Toffolo +0.2
+0.8
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1
Brentford
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestBrentford
41%Possession59%
0.46Expected goals (xG)1.66
0.08xG per shot0.09
6Shots18
1Shots on target5
17%Shots on target %28%
5Shots in box15
407Passes578
79%Pass accuracy85%
1Corners11
3Saves0
6Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
2Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.46 | 0.9 | |
| xG against | 1.66 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 6 | 9.9 | |
| On target | 1 | 2.9 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 41% | 37% | |
| Passes | 407 | 334.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 74% | |
| Corners | 1 | 3.7 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 11.9 |
Brentford
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.66 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.46 | 0.99 | |
| Shots | 18 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 12.4 | low |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 59% | 52% | |
| Passes | 578 | 464.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 80.1% | |
| Corners | 11 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 9 |
Timeline
- 2' Yellow Aaron Hickey
- 30' Yellow Moussa Niakhaté
- 56' Second yellow Moussa Niakhaté
- 58' Goal Christian Nørgaard league goal #1 assist Mathias Jensen
- 60' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Harry Toffolo
- 60' Sub Anthony Elanga → Morgan Gibbs-White
- 65' Goal Nicolás Domínguez league goal #1 assist Harry Toffolo
- 68' Yellow Ibrahim Sangaré
- 69' Sub Mathias Jensen → Frank Onyeka
- 69' Sub Aaron Hickey → Saman Ghoddos
- 75' Sub Keane Lewis-Potter → Neal Maupay
- 77' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Cheikhou Kouyaté
- 80' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Divock Origi
- 81' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Chris Wood
- 88' Yellow Frank Onyeka
- 89' Sub Vitaly Janelt → Michael Olakigbe
- 89' Sub Kristoffer Ajer → Mads Roerslev
Category leaders
- Key passesBryan Mbeumo4
- Duels wonNicolás Domínguez10/12
- DribblesBryan Mbeumo3/4
- Defensive actionsNicolás Domínguez6
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.