Nottingham Forest 2-2 Luton
Key numbers
- Possession 57% – 43%
- Shots 19 (8 on target) – 13 (4)
- Decisive moment: 90+2' Elijah Adebayo, FN xPts +0.9
Chris Wood 48'
Chris Wood 76'
Chris Wood 76'
HT 0:0
Chiedozie Ogbene 83'
Elijah Adebayo 90+2'
Elijah Adebayo 90+2'
Nottingham Forest 13th · 10 pts|Luton 17th · 5 pts
2-2 draw, with xG at 2.97–1.71.
Player of the matchChris WoodDecisive moment90+2' Elijah Adebayo+0.9
Player of the match
Chris Wood Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 42 min · level 48 min · Luton ahead 0 min
- Elijah Adebayo — off the bench 18 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
48'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.2
+0.8
76'
Chris Wood
Goal · assist Anthony Elanga
+0.2
83'
Chiedozie Ogbene
Goal
+0.1
90+2'
Elijah Adebayo
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Tom Lockyer +0.3
+0.9
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Luton
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestLuton
57%Possession43%
2.97Expected goals (xG)1.71
0.16xG per shot0.13
19Shots13
8Shots on target4
42%Shots on target %31%
17Shots in box9
494Passes361
77%Pass accuracy70%
4Corners2
2Saves6
12Fouls11
3Yellow cards0
2Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0.89 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.97 | 0.87 | high |
| xG against | 1.71 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 19 | 10.1 | high |
| On target | 8 | 2.9 | high |
| Shots faced | 13 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 57% | 38.7% | high |
| Passes | 494 | 358.7 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 76% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.8 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.2 |
Luton
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0.9 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.71 | 0.97 | |
| xG against | 2.97 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 13 | 12.7 | |
| On target | 4 | 2.7 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 14.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 43% | 42.2% | |
| Passes | 361 | 353.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 70% | 71.9% | |
| Corners | 2 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.9 |
Timeline
- 48' Goal Chris Wood league goal #2 assist Anthony Elanga
- 55' Sub Reece Burke → Issa Kaboré
- 60' Yellow Ibrahim Sangaré
- 72' Sub Tahith Chong → Andros Townsend
- 72' Sub Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu → Ross Barkley
- 72' Sub Jacob Brown → Elijah Adebayo
- 76' Goal Chris Wood league goal #3 assist Anthony Elanga
- 78' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Cheikhou Kouyaté
- 78' Sub Willy Boly → Joe Worrall
- 78' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 81' Sub Carlton Morris → Cauley Woodrow
- 82' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 83' Goal Chiedozie Ogbene league goal #1
- 88' Sub Anthony Elanga → Neco Williams
- 88' Sub Serge Aurier → Ola Aina
- 90+2' Goal Elijah Adebayo league goal #2 assist Tom Lockyer
- 90+8' Yellow Murillo
Category leaders
- Key passesMorgan Gibbs-White4
- Duels wonChris Wood10/17
- DribblesMorgan Gibbs-White3/4
- Defensive actionsSerge Aurier5
- ShotsChris Wood6 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonNicolás Domínguez3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.