Premier League · Matchweek 10
John McGinn 17'
Moussa Diaby 49'
Tom Lockyer 62' (OG)
HT 1:0
Emiliano Martínez 83' (OG)
Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 14:00 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 5th → 3rd · 22 pts|Luton 18th · 5 pts

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.28–0.48).

Player of the matchDouglas Luiz8.6Decisive moment17' John McGinn+0.5

Aston Villa 3-1 Luton

Key numbers

  • Possession 71% – 29%
  • Shots 17 (6 on target) – 7 (1)
  • Decisive moment: 17' John McGinn, FN xPts +0.5
Player of the match
Douglas Luiz 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

1-02-03-03-1
Aston Villa ahead 73 min · level 17 min · Luton ahead 0 min
  • Leon Bailey — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

17' John McGinn Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Douglas Luiz +0.2 +0.5
49' Moussa Diaby Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Leon Bailey +0.1 +0.3
62' Tom Lockyer Own goal 0.0
83' Emiliano Martínez Own goal 0.0
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +0.8Opponent moments 0.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Luton Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaLuton
71%Possession29%
2.28Expected goals (xG)0.48
0.13xG per shot0.07
17Shots7
6Shots on target1
35%Shots on target %14%
13Shots in box5
617Passes243
90%Pass accuracy77%
6Corners4
1Saves4
11Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
0Offsides6

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

15 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals32.6
Conceded11.3
xG2.281.5
xG against0.481.1
Shots1715.5
On target66.2
Shots faced79.6
xG per shot0.130.11
Possession71%55.8%
Passes617499.9
Pass accuracy90%86.1%
Corners65.9
Fouls1111.3

Luton

11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11
Conceded31.8
xG0.481
xG against2.281.6
Shots712.7
On target12.8
Shots faced1714.9
xG per shot0.070.08
Possession29%42.3%
Passes243354.5
Pass accuracy77%71.7%
Corners45.7
Fouls1011.8

Timeline

  • 17' Goal John McGinn league goal #2 assist Douglas Luiz
  • 28' Yellow Nicolò Zaniolo
  • 46' Sub Nicolò Zaniolo → Leon Bailey
  • 49' Goal Moussa Diaby league goal #3 assist Leon Bailey
  • 51' Yellow Matty Cash
  • 53' Yellow Issa Kaboré
  • 57' Sub Jacob Brown → Tahith Chong
  • 57' Sub Gabriel Osho → Andros Townsend
  • 62' Goal Tom Lockyer (OG)
  • 71' Yellow Boubacar Kamara
  • 75' Yellow Alfie Doughty
  • 76' Sub Marvelous Nakamba → Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
  • 76' Sub Carlton Morris → Elijah Adebayo
  • 79' Sub Matty Cash → Diego Carlos
  • 79' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Youri Tielemans
  • 79' Sub Alfie Doughty → Ryan Giles
  • 83' Goal Emiliano Martínez (OG)
  • 90' Sub Douglas Luiz → Leander Dendoncker
  • 90' Sub Moussa Diaby → Bertrand Traoré

Category leaders

  • Key passesLucas Digne3
  • Duels wonChiedozie Ogbene10/14
  • DribblesJohn McGinn2/2
  • Defensive actionsTeden Mengi8
  • ShotsJohn McGinn3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonChiedozie Ogbene4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.