Bundesliga · Matchweek 10
Václav Černý 37'
Kevin Paredes 59'
HT 1:1
Marvin Ducksch 7'
Rafael Santos Borré 65'
Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 14:30 (UK) · Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg · 13 pts|Werder Bremen · 10 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 1.49–1.22.

Player of the matchRafael Santos Borré7.8Decisive moment59' Kevin Paredes+1.0

VfL Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen

Key numbers

  • Possession 57% – 43%
  • Shots 14 (4 on target) – 13 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 59' Kevin Paredes, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Rafael Santos Borré 7.8Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-12-12-2
VfL Wolfsburg ahead 6 min · level 54 min · Werder Bremen ahead 30 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

7' Marvin Ducksch Goal +0.7
37' Václav Černý Goal +0.8
59' Kevin Paredes Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Lovro Majer +0.3 +1.0
65' Rafael Santos Borré Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Mitchell Weiser +0.2 +0.8
88' Maxence Lacroix Red card −0.1
VfL Wolfsburg Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.9→ League points won 1
Werder Bremen Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −1.4Time effect 0.0→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

VfL WolfsburgWerder Bremen
57%Possession43%
1.49Expected goals (xG)1.22
0.11xG per shot0.09
14Shots13
4Shots on target4
29%Shots on target %31%
8Shots in box9
546Passes419
85%Pass accuracy83%
5Corners2
2Saves2
15Fouls16
4Yellow cards1
1Offsides6

Compared with usual

VfL Wolfsburg

11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.8
Conceded21.3
xG1.491.3
xG against1.221.3
Shots1413.3
On target46.2
Shots faced1311.9
xG per shot0.110.1
Possession57%48.8%
Passes546449.3
Pass accuracy85%79.5%
Corners54.3
Fouls1512.6

Werder Bremen

10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.6
Conceded22.1
xG1.221.3
xG against1.491.7
Shots1311
On target43.8
Shots faced1416.5
xG per shot0.090.11
Possession43%47.5%
Passes419434.6
Pass accuracy83%77.2%
Corners23.3
Fouls1612.9

Timeline

  • 5' Yellow Maxence Lacroix
  • 7' Goal Marvin Ducksch league goal #4
  • 37' Goal Václav Černý league goal #1
  • 57' Sub Václav Černý → Tiago Tomás
  • 57' Sub Mattias Svanberg → Maximilian Arnold
  • 59' Goal Kevin Paredes league goal #1 assist Lovro Majer
  • 64' Yellow Leonardo Bittencourt
  • 65' Goal Rafael Santos Borré league goal #2 assist Mitchell Weiser
  • 66' Yellow Kevin Paredes
  • 74' Sub Sebastiaan Bornauw → Nicolas Cozza
  • 74' Sub Leonardo Bittencourt → Senne Lynen
  • 80' Yellow Jonas Wind
  • 84' Sub Joakim Mæhle → Ridle Baku
  • 84' Sub Kevin Paredes → Jakub Kamiński
  • 87' Sub Marvin Ducksch → Justin Njinmah
  • 88' Second yellow Maxence Lacroix
  • 90+2' Sub Rafael Santos Borré → Nick Woltemade

Category leaders

  • Key passesLovro Majer4
  • Duels wonJens Stage9/16
  • DribblesLovro Majer2/3
  • Defensive actionsAnthony Jung7
  • Fouls wonAster Vranckx4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.