West Ham 3-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 54% – 46%
- Shots 16 (6 on target) – 10 (5)
- Decisive moment: 88' Tomáš Souček, FN xPts +1.5
Lucas Paquetá 3'
Jarrod Bowen 65'
Tomáš Souček 88'
Jarrod Bowen 65'
Tomáš Souček 88'
HT 1:1
Taiwo Awoniyi 44'
Anthony Elanga 63'
Anthony Elanga 63'
West Ham 13th → 9th · 17 pts|Nottingham Forest 15th · 13 pts
West Ham won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.8–1.69).
Player of the matchJames Ward-ProwseDecisive moment88' Tomáš Souček+1.5
Player of the match
James Ward-Prowse Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
West Ham ahead 43 min · level 45 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 2 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
3'
Lucas Paquetá
Goal
+0.5
44'
Taiwo Awoniyi
Goal
+0.6
63'
Anthony Elanga
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Ola Aina +0.4
+1.2
65'
Jarrod Bowen
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist James Ward-Prowse +0.3
+1.0
88'
Tomáš Souček
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist James Ward-Prowse +0.5
+1.5
West Ham
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +3.0Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −2.5Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
West HamNottingham Forest
54%Possession46%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.69
0.11xG per shot0.17
16Shots10
6Shots on target5
38%Shots on target %50%
8Shots in box8
516Passes438
85%Pass accuracy81%
9Corners4
3Saves3
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
West Ham
17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.8 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.69 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 16 | 12.2 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 15.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 54% | 45.7% | |
| Passes | 516 | 422 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 78.8% | |
| Corners | 9 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 10.4 |
Nottingham Forest
12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.69 | 0.97 | |
| xG against | 1.8 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 10 | 10.3 | |
| On target | 5 | 3.2 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 13.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 46% | 38.3% | |
| Passes | 438 | 352.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 75.5% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.4 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11 |
Timeline
- 3' Goal Lucas Paquetá league goal #2
- 22' Yellow Vladimír Coufal
- 44' Goal Taiwo Awoniyi league goal #4
- 46' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Danilo
- 54' Yellow Moussa Niakhaté
- 60' Yellow Mohammed Kudus
- 63' Goal Anthony Elanga league goal #2 assist Ola Aina
- 64' Yellow Anthony Elanga
- 65' Goal Jarrod Bowen league goal #8 assist James Ward-Prowse
- 76' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Chris Wood
- 76' Sub Murillo → Willy Boly
- 76' Sub Ola Aina → Serge Aurier
- 79' Sub Edson Álvarez → Michail Antonio
- 88' Goal Tomáš Souček league goal #3 assist James Ward-Prowse
- 90' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Divock Origi
- 90+5' Sub Mohammed Kudus → Angelo Ogbonna
- 90+9' Sub Lucas Paquetá → Aaron Cresswell
Category leaders
- Key passesJames Ward-Prowse5
- Duels wonEmerson Palmieri7/12
- Defensive actionsIbrahim Sangaré9
- ShotsTomáš Souček4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonMohammed Kudus4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.