Luton 2-1 Crystal Palace
Key numbers
- Possession 39% – 61%
- Shots 8 (3 on target) – 16 (8)
- Decisive moment: 83' Jacob Brown, FN xPts +1.5
Teden Mengi 72'
Jacob Brown 83'
Jacob Brown 83'
HT 0:0
Michael Olise 74'
Luton 18th → 17th · 9 pts|Crystal Palace 13th · 15 pts
Crystal Palace edged xG (0.94–1.67) but Luton took the win.
Player of the matchMichael OliseDecisive moment83' Jacob Brown+1.5
Player of the match
Michael Olise Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Luton ahead 9 min · level 81 min · Crystal Palace ahead 0 min
- Jacob Brown — off the bench 11 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
72'
Teden Mengi
Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Carlton Morris +0.4
+1.3
74'
Michael Olise
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Joel Ward +0.3
+0.9
83'
Jacob Brown
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Chiedozie Ogbene +0.5
+1.5
Luton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LutonCrystal Palace
39%Possession61%
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.67
0.12xG per shot0.1
8Shots16
3Shots on target8
38%Shots on target %50%
6Shots in box11
335Passes538
74%Pass accuracy79%
4Corners5
7Saves1
15Fouls12
6Yellow cards1
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Luton
14 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0.93 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 0.94 | 0.93 | |
| xG against | 1.67 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 8 | 11.8 | |
| On target | 3 | 2.9 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 15.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 39% | 39.6% | |
| Passes | 335 | 335.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 71.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 11.3 |
Crystal Palace
14 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.67 | 1 | |
| xG against | 0.94 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 16 | 11.8 | |
| On target | 8 | 4 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 13.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 61% | 42.8% | |
| Passes | 538 | 404.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79.4% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 10.8 |
Timeline
- 13' Yellow Jefferson Lerma
- 44' Yellow Tom Lockyer
- 49' Sub Eberechi Eze → Jordan Ayew
- 50' Yellow Gabriel Osho
- 54' Sub Cheick Doucouré → Will Hughes
- 59' Yellow Ross Barkley
- 61' Sub Andros Townsend → Tahith Chong
- 61' Sub Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu → Jordan Clark
- 68' VAR Odsonne Édouard
- 69' Yellow Jordan Clark
- 72' Goal Teden Mengi league goal #1 assist Carlton Morris
- 74' Sub Carlton Morris → Elijah Adebayo
- 74' Goal Michael Olise league goal #1 assist Joel Ward
- 79' Sub Alfie Doughty → Jacob Brown
- 80' Sub Odsonne Édouard → Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 80' Sub Jeffrey Schlupp → Naouirou Ahamada
- 83' Goal Jacob Brown league goal #1 assist Chiedozie Ogbene
- 90+1' Yellow Elijah Adebayo
- 90+10' Yellow Thomas Kaminski
Category leaders
- Key passesMichael Olise3
- Duels wonJoachim Andersen8/10
- DribblesAlfie Doughty3/4
- Defensive actionsTom Lockyer8
- ShotsMichael Olise3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonJordan Ayew3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.