Nottingham Forest 0-1 Everton
Key numbers
- Possession 62% – 38%
- Shots 13 (2 on target) – 12 (3)
- Decisive moment: 67' Dwight McNeil, FN xPts +1.3
HT 0:0
Dwight McNeil 67'
Nottingham Forest 16th · 13 pts|Everton 15th → 11th · 17 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (0.72–0.67) but Everton took the win.
Player of the matchRyan YatesDecisive moment67' Dwight McNeil+1.3
Player of the match
Ryan Yates Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 67 min · Everton ahead 23 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
67'
Dwight McNeil
Goal
+1.3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Everton
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestEverton
62%Possession38%
0.72Expected goals (xG)0.67
0.06xG per shot0.06
13Shots12
2Shots on target3
15%Shots on target %25%
9Shots in box5
592Passes359
82%Pass accuracy65%
4Corners3
1Saves2
15Fouls14
1Yellow cards0
1Offsides2
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
14 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.72 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.67 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 13 | 10.9 | |
| On target | 2 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 13.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 62% | 39.4% | high |
| Passes | 592 | 366.5 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 76.4% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.6 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 11.1 |
Everton
16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.67 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.72 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 12 | 14.5 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.8 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 11.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 38% | 41.1% | |
| Passes | 359 | 370.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 65% | 74.3% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.9 |
Timeline
- 46' Sub Willy Boly → Felipe
- 55' Yellow Felipe
- 65' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 67' Goal Dwight McNeil league goal #1
- 82' Sub Harry Toffolo → Divock Origi
- 82' Sub Beto → Youssef Chermiti
Category leaders
- Key passesMorgan Gibbs-White2
- Duels wonRyan Yates17/25
- DribblesRyan Yates2/2
- Defensive actionsSerge Aurier7
- ShotsDwight McNeil3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonRyan Yates6
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.