Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City
Key numbers
- Possession 46% – 54%
- Shots 22 (7 on target) – 2 (2)
- Decisive moment: 74' Leon Bailey, FN xPts +1.4
Leon Bailey 74'
HT 0:0
Aston Villa 4th → 3rd · 32 pts|Manchester City 3rd → 4th · 30 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.38–0.65).
Player of the matchJohn McGinnDecisive moment74' Leon Bailey+1.4
Player of the match
John McGinn Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 16 min · level 74 min · Manchester City ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
74'
Leon Bailey
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Youri Tielemans +0.4
+1.4
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.4Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaManchester City
46%Possession54%
2.38Expected goals (xG)0.65
0.11xG per shot0.33
22Shots2
7Shots on target2
32%Shots on target %100%
12Shots in box2
436Passes520
85%Pass accuracy87%
6Corners0
2Saves6
13Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Offsides5
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.4 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2.38 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 0.65 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 22 | 14.8 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 2 | 9.6 | low |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 46% | 57.5% | |
| Passes | 436 | 510.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86.4% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 10.7 |
Manchester City
20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 0.65 | 2.2 | |
| xG against | 2.38 | 0.72 | |
| Shots | 2 | 18.2 | low |
| On target | 2 | 7.5 | |
| Shots faced | 22 | 6.7 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.33 | 0.13 | high |
| Possession | 54% | 64.4% | |
| Passes | 520 | 668.2 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 90.7% | |
| Corners | 0 | 6.9 | low |
| Fouls | 13 | 8.6 |
Timeline
- 45' Yellow John Stones
- 53' Yellow Rico Lewis
- 60' Yellow Ollie Watkins
- 68' Sub Rico Lewis → Matheus Nunes
- 68' Sub Julián Álvarez → Mateo Kovačić
- 73' Sub Phil Foden → Oscar Bobb
- 74' Goal Leon Bailey league goal #5 assist Youri Tielemans
- 85' Sub Youri Tielemans → Jacob Ramsey
- 85' Sub Leon Bailey → Moussa Diaby
- 87' Yellow Boubacar Kamara
- 90' Sub Ollie Watkins → Jhon Durán
- 90' Sub Lucas Digne → Álex Moreno
Category leaders
- Key passesDouglas Luiz4
- Duels wonJohn McGinn14/25
- DribblesJohn McGinn5/5
- Defensive actionsJoško Gvardiol11
- ShotsLeon Bailey4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonLucas Digne3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.