Aston Villa 1-0 Arsenal
Key numbers
- Possession 39% – 61%
- Shots 10 (3 on target) – 12 (5)
- Decisive moment: 7' John McGinn, FN xPts +0.7
John McGinn 7'
HT 1:0
Aston Villa 3rd · 35 pts|Arsenal 2nd · 36 pts
Arsenal edged xG (0.57–1.4) but Aston Villa took the win.
Player of the matchJohn McGinnDecisive moment7' John McGinn+0.7
Player of the match
John McGinn Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 83 min · level 7 min · Arsenal ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
7'
John McGinn
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Leon Bailey +0.2
+0.7
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.7Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.1→ League points won 3
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.9→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaArsenal
39%Possession61%
0.57Expected goals (xG)1.4
0.06xG per shot0.12
10Shots12
3Shots on target5
30%Shots on target %42%
5Shots in box10
289Passes462
72%Pass accuracy84%
3Corners3
3Saves2
16Fouls11
4Yellow cards2
1Offsides4
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 0.57 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.4 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 15.1 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 9.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 39% | 57% | |
| Passes | 289 | 507.3 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 86.3% | low |
| Corners | 3 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10.8 |
Arsenal
22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.91 | |
| xG | 1.4 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 0.57 | 0.64 | |
| Shots | 12 | 14.6 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 8.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 61% | 60.5% | |
| Passes | 462 | 569.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 86.9% | |
| Corners | 3 | 7.1 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10 |
Timeline
- 7' Goal John McGinn league goal #4 assist Leon Bailey
- 28' Yellow Oleksandr Zinchenko
- 46' Sub Leon Bailey → Moussa Diaby
- 53' Yellow Lucas Digne
- 56' Sub Youri Tielemans → Jacob Ramsey
- 62' Yellow Douglas Luiz
- 66' Sub Ezri Konsa → Matty Cash
- 67' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Leander Dendoncker
- 70' Sub Gabriel Martinelli → Leandro Trossard
- 73' Yellow John McGinn
- 77' Yellow Declan Rice
- 78' Sub Lucas Digne → Álex Moreno
- 81' Sub Gabriel Jesus → Edward Nketiah
- 88' Yellow Diego Carlos
- 90+3' Sub Oleksandr Zinchenko → Reiss Nelson
Category leaders
- Key passesMoussa Diaby2
- Duels wonBukayo Saka12/16
- DribblesJohn McGinn3/6
- Defensive actionsJohn McGinn7
- ShotsMartin Ødegaard3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonBukayo Saka5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.