Luton 1-2 Manchester City
Key numbers
- Possession 35% – 65%
- Shots 4 (2 on target) – 18 (6)
- Decisive moment: 62' Bernardo Silva, FN xPts +1.0
Elijah Adebayo 45+2'
HT 1:0
Bernardo Silva 62'
Jack Grealish 65'
Jack Grealish 65'
Luton 18th · 9 pts|Manchester City 4th · 33 pts
Manchester City won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.33–1.61).
Player of the matchBernardo SilvaDecisive moment62' Bernardo Silva+1.0
Player of the match
Bernardo Silva Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)
Game state
Luton ahead 17 min · level 48 min · Manchester City ahead 25 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45+2'
Elijah Adebayo
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Andros Townsend +0.3
+0.9
62'
Bernardo Silva
Goal
+1.0
65'
Jack Grealish
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Julián Álvarez +0.3
+1.0
Luton
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.9Time effect +0.4→ League points won 0
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LutonManchester City
35%Possession65%
0.33Expected goals (xG)1.61
0.08xG per shot0.09
4Shots18
2Shots on target6
50%Shots on target %33%
2Shots in box9
302Passes594
74%Pass accuracy86%
6Corners3
4Saves1
16Fouls6
2Yellow cards1
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Luton
17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 0.33 | 0.87 | |
| xG against | 1.61 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 4 | 10.9 | low |
| On target | 2 | 2.9 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 16.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 35% | 38.7% | |
| Passes | 302 | 329.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 71.4% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 11.5 |
Manchester City
21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.61 | 2.2 | |
| xG against | 0.33 | 0.8 | |
| Shots | 18 | 17.4 | |
| On target | 6 | 7.2 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 7.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.14 | |
| Possession | 65% | 63.9% | |
| Passes | 594 | 661.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 90.5% | low |
| Corners | 3 | 6.6 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 8.8 |
Timeline
- 45+2' Goal Elijah Adebayo league goal #4 assist Andros Townsend
- 58' Yellow Marvelous Nakamba
- 62' Goal Bernardo Silva league goal #4
- 65' Goal Jack Grealish league goal #2 assist Julián Álvarez
- 69' Sub Joško Gvardiol → John Stones
- 72' Sub Andros Townsend → Carlton Morris
- 72' Sub Marvelous Nakamba → Albert Sambi Lokonga
- 73' Yellow Rodri
- 77' Yellow Alfie Doughty
- 83' Sub Mateo Kovačić → Matheus Nunes
- 84' Sub Ryan Giles → Tahith Chong
- 90' Sub Tom Lockyer → Jordan Clark
- 90+3' Sub Phil Foden → Manuel Akanji
Category leaders
- Key passesBernardo Silva3
- Duels wonBernardo Silva8/13
- DribblesJack Grealish3/4
- Defensive actionsTom Lockyer9
- ShotsRodri3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonPhil Foden4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.