Wolves 1-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 68% – 32%
- Shots 10 (4 on target) – 8 (2)
- Decisive moment: 32' Matheus Cunha, FN xPts +0.9
Matheus Cunha 32'
HT 1:1
Harry Toffolo 14'
Wolves 14th → 13th · 19 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 14 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 1.17–1.29.
Player of the matchNeco WilliamsDecisive moment32' Matheus Cunha+0.9
Player of the match
Neco Williams Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)
Game state
Wolves ahead 0 min · level 72 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 18 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
14'
Harry Toffolo
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Neco Williams +0.2
+0.8
32'
Matheus Cunha
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Pablo Sarabia +0.3
+0.9
Wolves
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −1.1→ League points won 1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
WolvesNottingham Forest
68%Possession32%
1.17Expected goals (xG)1.29
0.12xG per shot0.16
10Shots8
4Shots on target2
40%Shots on target %25%
7Shots in box6
655Passes307
85%Pass accuracy68%
4Corners3
1Saves3
9Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Wolves
17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.17 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.29 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 10 | 11.5 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 14.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 68% | 49.2% | |
| Passes | 655 | 464.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 81.2% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 13 |
Nottingham Forest
16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.29 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1.17 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 8 | 10.6 | |
| On target | 2 | 3.2 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 13.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 32% | 40.6% | |
| Passes | 307 | 382.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 68% | 77.1% | |
| Corners | 3 | 3.5 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.3 |
Timeline
- 14' Goal Harry Toffolo league goal #1 assist Neco Williams
- 32' Goal Matheus Cunha league goal #5 assist Pablo Sarabia
- 33' Yellow Cheikhou Kouyaté
- 61' Sub Mario Lemina → Boubacar Traoré
- 63' Sub Cheikhou Kouyaté → Danilo
- 69' Sub Hugo Bueno → Matt Doherty
- 69' Sub Pablo Sarabia → Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
- 77' Sub Murillo → Felipe
- 84' Sub Anthony Elanga → Chris Wood
- 90+1' Sub Matheus Cunha → Saša Kalajdžić
Category leaders
- Key passesPablo Sarabia4
- Duels wonMorgan Gibbs-White12/15
- DribblesHee-Chan Hwang4/5
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams8
- ShotsMatheus Cunha4 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonNeco Williams4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.