Brentford 1-2 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 33% – 67%
- Shots 4 (3 on target) – 15 (5)
- Decisive moment: 85' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +1.6
Keane Lewis-Potter 45'
HT 1:0
Álex Moreno 77'
Ollie Watkins 85'
Ollie Watkins 85'
Brentford 13th · 19 pts|Aston Villa 3rd → 1st · 38 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.51–1.42).
Player of the matchÁlex MorenoDecisive moment85' Ollie Watkins+1.6
Player of the match
Álex Moreno Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)
Game state
Brentford ahead 32 min · level 53 min · Aston Villa ahead 5 min
- Brentford: Red card 71' → ~19 min a player down
- Leon Bailey — off the bench 25 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45'
Keane Lewis-Potter
Goal
+0.9
71'
Ben Mee
Red card
−0.2
77'
Álex Moreno
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Leon Bailey +0.3
+1.0
85'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Boubacar Kamara +0.5
+1.6
90+7'
Boubacar Kamara
Red card
0.0
Brentford
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −2.3Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +2.6Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BrentfordAston Villa
33%Possession67%
0.51Expected goals (xG)1.42
0.13xG per shot0.09
4Shots15
3Shots on target5
75%Shots on target %33%
4Shots in box8
250Passes528
68%Pass accuracy85%
7Corners11
3Saves2
19Fouls6
6Yellow cards4
7Offsides0
Compared with usual
Brentford
18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 0.51 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.42 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 4 | 14.3 | low |
| On target | 3 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 33% | 49.8% | |
| Passes | 250 | 449.9 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 68% | 78.3% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 19 | 10.2 | high |
Aston Villa
25 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.42 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.51 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 15 | 14.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.7 | |
| Shots faced | 4 | 9.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 67% | 57% | |
| Passes | 528 | 503.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85.9% | |
| Corners | 11 | 5.8 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 11 |
Timeline
- 45' Goal Keane Lewis-Potter league goal #1
- 46' Yellow Christian Nørgaard
- 65' Sub Matty Cash → Leon Bailey
- 65' Sub Moussa Diaby → Jhon Durán
- 68' Sub Mikkel Damsgaard → Frank Onyeka
- 68' Sub Keane Lewis-Potter → Neal Maupay
- 70' VAR Ben Mee
- 71' Red Ben Mee
- 76' Sub Yoane Wissa → Nathan Collins
- 77' Goal Álex Moreno league goal #1 assist Leon Bailey
- 80' Yellow Leon Bailey
- 81' Sub Pau Torres → Nicolò Zaniolo
- 85' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #9 assist Boubacar Kamara
- 86' Yellow Saman Ghoddos
- 86' Yellow Ezri Konsa
- 87' Yellow Jhon Durán
- 88' Yellow Vitaly Janelt
- 88' Sub Vitaly Janelt → Yehor Yarmoliuk
- 89' Sub Mads Roerslev → Michael Olakigbe
- 90' Yellow Frank Onyeka
- 90' Sub Jacob Ramsey → Leander Dendoncker
- 90+1' Yellow Neal Maupay
- 90+7' Red Boubacar Kamara
- 90+8' Yellow Yehor Yarmoliuk
- 90+8' Yellow Emiliano Martínez
Category leaders
- Key passesJacob Ramsey4
- Duels wonSaman Ghoddos9/16
- DribblesOllie Watkins3/6
- Defensive actionsChristian Nørgaard10
- ShotsÁlex Moreno3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonJohn McGinn4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.