Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Key numbers
- Possession 60% – 40%
- Shots 22 (9 on target) – 3 (1)
- Decisive moment: 25' Jude Bellingham, FN xPts +0.7
Jude Bellingham 25'
Rodrygo 37'
Brahim Díaz 64'
Luka Modrić 68'
Rodrygo 37'
Brahim Díaz 64'
Luka Modrić 68'
HT 2:0
José Luis Morales 54'
Real Madrid 2nd → 1st · 42 pts|Villarreal 14th · 16 pts
Real Madrid won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.32–0.75).
Player of the matchLuka ModrićDecisive moment25' Jude Bellingham+0.7
Player of the match
Luka Modrić Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
Real Madrid ahead 65 min · level 25 min · Villarreal ahead 0 min
- Fran García — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
- Ramón Terrats — off the bench 61 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
25'
Jude Bellingham
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Luka Modrić +0.2
+0.7
37'
Rodrygo
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Lucas Vázquez +0.1
+0.3
54'
José Luis Morales
Goal · assist Ramón Terrats
+0.2
64'
Brahim Díaz
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Fran García +0.1
+0.3
68'
Luka Modrić
Goal
0.0
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −0.3Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Villarreal
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −1.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Real MadridVillarreal
60%Possession40%
2.32Expected goals (xG)0.75
0.11xG per shot0.25
22Shots3
9Shots on target1
41%Shots on target %33%
14Shots in box2
650Passes427
92%Pass accuracy84%
14Corners0
0Saves5
14Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
4Offsides0
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.77 | |
| xG | 2.32 | 2 | |
| xG against | 0.75 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 22 | 17.8 | |
| On target | 9 | 6.6 | |
| Shots faced | 3 | 11.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 60% | 58.7% | |
| Passes | 650 | 617.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 90.3% | |
| Corners | 14 | 6.7 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 10.1 |
Villarreal
last 10 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.7 | high |
| xG | 0.75 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 2.32 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 3 | 15.9 | low |
| On target | 1 | 6.1 | low |
| Shots faced | 22 | 13.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.25 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 40% | 54.7% | low |
| Passes | 427 | 538.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85.7% | |
| Corners | 0 | 5.3 | low |
| Fouls | 12 | 12.1 |
Timeline
- 25' Goal Jude Bellingham league goal #13 assist Luka Modrić
- 29' Sub Alejandro Baena → Ramón Terrats
- 35' Sub David Alaba → Nacho Fernández
- 37' Goal Rodrygo league goal #7 assist Lucas Vázquez
- 39' VAR Rodrygo
- 46' Sub Ferland Mendy → Fran García
- 46' Sub Gerard Moreno → Alexander Sørloth
- 46' Sub Raúl Albiol → Jorge Cuenca
- 54' Goal José Luis Morales league goal #5 assist Ramón Terrats
- 64' Goal Brahim Díaz league goal #3 assist Fran García
- 67' Yellow Jude Bellingham
- 67' Yellow Adrià Altimira
- 68' Goal Luka Modrić league goal #1
- 74' Yellow Ilias Akhomach
- 74' Sub Ilias Akhomach → Manu Trigueros
- 78' Sub Jude Bellingham → Dani Ceballos
- 79' Sub Toni Kroos → Aurélien Tchouaméni
- 79' Sub José Luis Morales → Ben Brereton Díaz
- 83' Yellow Aurélien Tchouaméni
- 84' Sub Brahim Díaz → Joselu
- 85' Yellow Étienne Capoue
Category leaders
- Key passesLuka Modrić5
- Duels wonDani Parejo7/11
- DribblesBrahim Díaz4/6
- Defensive actionsAlfonso Pedraza7
- ShotsBrahim Díaz4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonDani Parejo5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.