Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Maximilian Arnold 45+1'
HT 1:2
Jamal Musiala 33'
Harry Kane 43'
Wed, 20 Dec 2023, 19:30 (UK) · Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg · 19 pts|Bayern Munich · 38 pts

Bayern Munich won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.28–2.73).

Player of the matchJamal Musiala8.2Decisive moment33' Jamal Musiala+0.7

VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayern Munich

Key numbers

  • Possession 39% – 61%
  • Shots 5 (4 on target) – 20 (7)
  • Decisive moment: 33' Jamal Musiala, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Jamal Musiala 8.2Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-2
VfL Wolfsburg ahead 0 min · level 33 min · Bayern Munich ahead 57 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

33' Jamal Musiala Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Thomas Müller +0.2 +0.7
43' Harry Kane Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Thomas Müller +0.1 +0.4
45+1' Maximilian Arnold Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Joakim Mæhle +0.1 +0.3
VfL Wolfsburg Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Bayern Munich Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

VfL WolfsburgBayern Munich
39%Possession61%
0.28Expected goals (xG)2.73
0.06xG per shot0.14
5Shots20
4Shots on target7
80%Shots on target %35%
3Shots in box10
426Passes652
81%Pass accuracy88%
0Corners6
5Saves3
15Fouls12
4Yellow cards2
1Offsides0

Compared with usual

VfL Wolfsburg

18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.4
Conceded21.4
xG0.281.1
xG against2.731.3
Shots512.9low
On target45.2
Shots faced2012.9
xG per shot0.060.09
Possession39%49.1%
Passes426467.4
Pass accuracy81%80.3%
Corners04.7low
Fouls1512.7

Bayern Munich

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.9
Conceded11
xG2.732.3
xG against0.280.78
Shots2018.3
On target77.1
Shots faced58.9
xG per shot0.140.13
Possession61%61.5%
Passes652626.1
Pass accuracy88%88.4%
Corners67.2
Fouls129.4

Timeline

  • 11' Yellow Cedric Zesiger
  • 20' Yellow Aleksandar Pavlović
  • 33' Goal Jamal Musiala league goal #3 assist Thomas Müller
  • 43' Goal Harry Kane league goal #21 assist Thomas Müller
  • 45+1' Goal Maximilian Arnold league goal #1 assist Joakim Mæhle
  • 46' Yellow Lovro Majer
  • 46' Sub Cedric Zesiger → Rogério
  • 52' Sub Lovro Majer → Tiago Tomás
  • 59' Yellow Ridle Baku
  • 63' Sub Thomas Müller → Matthijs de Ligt
  • 72' Sub Mattias Svanberg → Kevin Paredes
  • 84' Sub Ridle Baku → Václav Černý
  • 90+1' Yellow Tiago Tomás
  • 90+1' Yellow Raphaël Guerreiro
  • 90+3' Sub Jamal Musiala → Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

Category leaders

  • Key passesKonrad Laimer3
  • Duels wonJoakim Mæhle10/16
  • DribblesJamal Musiala4/7
  • Defensive actionsJoakim Mæhle8
  • ShotsLeroy Sané3 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonJamal Musiala4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.