Nottingham Forest 2-3 Bournemouth
Key numbers
- Possession 33% – 67%
- Shots 11 (5 on target) – 18 (7)
- Decisive moment: 90+4' Dominic Solanke, FN xPts +2.0
Anthony Elanga 47'
Chris Wood 74'
Chris Wood 74'
HT 0:0
Dominic Solanke 51'
Dominic Solanke 58'
Dominic Solanke 90+4'
Dominic Solanke 58'
Dominic Solanke 90+4'
Nottingham Forest 17th · 14 pts|Bournemouth 15th → 12th · 22 pts
Bournemouth won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.02–1.61).
Player of the matchDominic SolankeDecisive moment90+4' Dominic Solanke+2.0
Player of the match
Dominic Solanke Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.1 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 4 min · level 70 min · Bournemouth ahead 16 min
- Nottingham Forest: Red card 23' → ~67 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
23'
Willy Boly
Red card
−0.5
47'
Anthony Elanga
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Chris Wood +0.3
+1.0
51'
Dominic Solanke
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Marcos Senesi +0.3
+0.9
58'
Dominic Solanke
Goal
+1.1
74'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.3
+0.9
90+4'
Dominic Solanke
Goal · scorer +1.4 · assist Adam Smith +0.6
+2.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −2.8Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Bournemouth
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +4.0Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestBournemouth
33%Possession67%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.61
0.09xG per shot0.09
11Shots18
5Shots on target7
45%Shots on target %39%
10Shots in box13
256Passes523
63%Pass accuracy83%
6Corners6
3Saves2
10Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0.94 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.02 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1.61 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 11 | 10.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 3 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 13.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 33% | 39.7% | |
| Passes | 256 | 370.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 63% | 76.3% | |
| Corners | 6 | 3.6 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.6 |
Bournemouth
19 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.61 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.02 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 18 | 13.1 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 15.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 67% | 42.9% | high |
| Passes | 523 | 376.6 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 77.3% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 12.7 |
Timeline
- 5' Yellow Willy Boly
- 23' Second yellow Willy Boly
- 26' Sub Divock Origi → Moussa Niakhaté
- 29' Sub Lewis Cook → Alex Scott
- 31' Yellow Alex Scott
- 46' Sub Orel Mangala → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 47' Goal Anthony Elanga league goal #4 assist Chris Wood
- 51' Goal Dominic Solanke league goal #9 assist Marcos Senesi
- 58' Goal Dominic Solanke league goal #10
- 65' Yellow Antoine Semenyo
- 68' Yellow Ryan Christie
- 70' Sub Alex Scott → Joe Rothwell
- 70' Sub Antoine Semenyo → Luis Sinisterra
- 74' Goal Chris Wood league goal #4 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 82' Sub Philip Billing → David Brooks
- 82' Sub Dango Ouattara → Kieffer Moore
- 85' Sub Harry Toffolo → Ola Aina
- 90+3' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Danilo
- 90+4' Goal Dominic Solanke league goal #11 assist Adam Smith
Category leaders
- Key passesMarcos Senesi3
- Duels wonNeco Williams15/18
- DribblesRyan Christie3/5
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams10
- ShotsDominic Solanke5 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonNeco Williams3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.