Newcastle 1-3 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 62% – 38%
- Shots 19 (7 on target) – 15 (6)
- Decisive moment: 53' Chris Wood, FN xPts +1.0
Alexander Isak 23' (pen)
HT 1:1
Chris Wood 45+1'
Chris Wood 53'
Chris Wood 60'
Chris Wood 53'
Chris Wood 60'
Newcastle 7th · 29 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 17 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.43–3.46).
Player of the matchChris WoodDecisive moment53' Chris Wood+1.0
Player of the match
Chris Wood Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.9 (Dominant)
Game state
Newcastle ahead 22 min · level 31 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 37 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
23'
Alexander Isak
Pen goal
+0.5
45+1'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.1
+0.4
53'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.3
+1.0
60'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Murillo +0.2
+0.8
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 2.6Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −2.3Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.3Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −0.3Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
NewcastleNottingham Forest
62%Possession38%
2.43Expected goals (xG)3.46
0.13xG per shot0.23
19Shots15
7Shots on target6
37%Shots on target %40%
16Shots in box10
513Passes326
87%Pass accuracy80%
10Corners2
3Saves5
10Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
Newcastle
27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 2.43 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 3.46 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 19 | 12.6 | |
| On target | 7 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 62% | 50.3% | |
| Passes | 513 | 463.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 82.1% | |
| Corners | 10 | 4.2 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.6 |
Nottingham Forest
19 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 | high |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 3.46 | 1 | high |
| xG against | 2.43 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 15 | 10.7 | |
| On target | 6 | 3.1 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 13.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.23 | 0.1 | high |
| Possession | 38% | 39.4% | |
| Passes | 326 | 364.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 75.6% | |
| Corners | 2 | 3.7 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.5 |
Timeline
- 23' Goal Alexander Isak (pen) league goal #8
- 26' Yellow Ibrahim Sangaré
- 27' Yellow Anthony Gordon
- 27' Yellow Gonzalo Montiel
- 45+1' Goal Chris Wood league goal #5 assist Anthony Elanga
- 53' Goal Chris Wood league goal #6 assist Anthony Elanga
- 55' Sub Miguel Almirón → Callum Wilson
- 55' Sub Dan Burn → Valentino Livramento
- 60' Goal Chris Wood league goal #7 assist Murillo
- 70' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Ryan Yates
- 70' Sub Gonzalo Montiel → Neco Williams
- 71' Sub Sean Longstaff → Joelinton
- 79' Sub Sven Botman → Lewis Hall
- 79' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Nicolás Domínguez
- 84' Yellow Neco Williams
- 85' Yellow Bruno Guimarães
- 88' Yellow Fabian Schär
- 90' Sub Anthony Elanga → Joe Worrall
- 90' Sub Danilo → Cheikhou Kouyaté
Category leaders
- Key passesMorgan Gibbs-White4
- Duels wonMorgan Gibbs-White12/23
- DribblesAlexander Isak4/6
- Defensive actionsKieran Trippier6
- ShotsAlexander Isak5 (on target 5)
- Fouls wonBruno Guimarães5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.