Aston Villa 3-2 Burnley
Key numbers
- Possession 66% – 34%
- Shots 19 (7 on target) – 9 (5)
- Decisive moment: 89' Douglas Luiz, FN xPts +1.6
Leon Bailey 28'
Moussa Diaby 42'
Douglas Luiz 89' (pen)
Moussa Diaby 42'
Douglas Luiz 89' (pen)
HT 2:1
Zeki Amdouni 31'
Lyle Foster 71'
Lyle Foster 71'
Aston Villa 3rd → 2nd · 42 pts|Burnley 19th · 11 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.23–1.17).
Player of the matchOllie WatkinsDecisive moment89' Douglas Luiz+1.6
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 33 min · level 57 min · Burnley ahead 0 min
- Burnley: Red card 56' → ~34 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
28'
Leon Bailey
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Ollie Watkins +0.2
+0.7
31'
Zeki Amdouni
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Dara O'Shea +0.2
+0.6
42'
Moussa Diaby
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ollie Watkins +0.2
+0.8
56'
Sander Berge
Red card
−0.1
71'
Lyle Foster
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Jóhann Guðmundsson +0.2
+0.7
89'
Douglas Luiz
Pen goal
+1.6
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +3.1Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3
Burnley
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −2.1Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaBurnley
66%Possession34%
3.23Expected goals (xG)1.17
0.17xG per shot0.13
19Shots9
7Shots on target5
37%Shots on target %56%
13Shots in box7
465Passes240
85%Pass accuracy72%
6Corners2
3Saves4
9Fouls14
4Yellow cards3
1Offsides6
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
28 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 3.23 | 1.5 | high |
| xG against | 1.17 | 1 | |
| Shots | 19 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.6 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 66% | 58% | |
| Passes | 465 | 508.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85.8% | |
| Corners | 6 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 10.8 |
Burnley
22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 1.17 | 0.74 | |
| xG against | 3.23 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 9 | 10.4 | |
| On target | 5 | 3.2 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 34% | 50.3% | |
| Passes | 240 | 477.9 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 72% | 80.9% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11 |
Timeline
- 17' Sub Jordan Beyer → Hannes Delcroix
- 18' Yellow Ezri Konsa
- 23' Yellow Charlie Taylor
- 28' Goal Leon Bailey league goal #6 assist Ollie Watkins
- 31' Goal Zeki Amdouni league goal #3 assist Dara O'Shea
- 42' Yellow Sander Berge
- 42' Goal Moussa Diaby league goal #4 assist Ollie Watkins
- 56' Second yellow Sander Berge
- 59' Sub Zeki Amdouni → Aaron Ramsey
- 62' Sub Clément Lenglet → Pau Torres
- 71' Goal Lyle Foster league goal #4 assist Jóhann Guðmundsson
- 74' Sub Jóhann Guðmundsson → Connor Roberts
- 74' Sub Wilson Odobert → Mike Trésor
- 82' Sub Moussa Diaby → Jhon Durán
- 88' Yellow Jacob Ramsey
- 89' Goal Douglas Luiz (pen) league goal #6
- 90+3' Sub Leon Bailey → Leander Dendoncker
- 90+6' Yellow Emiliano Martínez
- 90+8' Yellow John McGinn
Category leaders
- Key passesOllie Watkins3
- Duels wonCharlie Taylor8/10
- DribblesLeon Bailey2/4
- Defensive actionsJohn McGinn4
- ShotsMoussa Diaby6 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonÁlex Moreno3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.