Premier League · Matchweek 20
2:1
Raúl Jiménez 29'
Bobby Decordova-Reid 59'
HT 1:1
Bukayo Saka 5'
Sun, 31 Dec 2023, 14:00 (UK) · Craven Cottage, London
Fulham 15th → 14th · 24 pts|Arsenal 4th · 40 pts

Arsenal edged xG (1.22–1.64) but Fulham took the win.

Player of the matchAntonee Robinson8.0Decisive moment59' Bobby Decordova-Reid+1.1

Fulham 2-1 Arsenal

Key numbers

  • Possession 40% – 60%
  • Shots 15 (4 on target) – 13 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 59' Bobby Decordova-Reid, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Antonee Robinson 8.0Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-12-1
Fulham ahead 31 min · level 35 min · Arsenal ahead 24 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

5' Bukayo Saka Goal +0.7
29' Raúl Jiménez Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Tom Cairney +0.2 +0.7
59' Bobby Decordova-Reid Goal +1.1
Fulham Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Arsenal Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

FulhamArsenal
40%Possession60%
1.22Expected goals (xG)1.64
0.08xG per shot0.13
15Shots13
4Shots on target3
27%Shots on target %23%
8Shots in box10
412Passes637
83%Pass accuracy88%
5Corners4
2Saves2
11Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
4Offsides0

Compared with usual

Fulham

23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.4
Conceded11.7
xG1.221
xG against1.641.5
Shots1511.6
On target44
Shots faced1312.7
xG per shot0.080.09
Possession40%51.3%
Passes412508
Pass accuracy83%81.8%
Corners55.3
Fouls119.8

Arsenal

27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals12
Conceded20.93
xG1.641.7
xG against1.220.72
Shots1315.4
On target35.4
Shots faced158.8
xG per shot0.130.11
Possession60%60.1%
Passes637564.6
Pass accuracy88%86.8%
Corners46.9
Fouls1010

Timeline

  • 5' Goal Bukayo Saka league goal #6
  • 29' Goal Raúl Jiménez league goal #5 assist Tom Cairney
  • 46' Sub Jakub Kiwior → Takehiro Tomiyasu
  • 59' Goal Bobby Decordova-Reid league goal #4
  • 65' Yellow Tom Cairney
  • 67' Sub Benjamin White → Gabriel Jesus
  • 67' Sub Gabriel Martinelli → Leandro Trossard
  • 72' Sub Alex Iwobi → Andreas Pereira
  • 77' Yellow Calvin Bassey
  • 77' Sub Kai Havertz → Reiss Nelson
  • 79' Sub Willian → Issa Diop
  • 79' Sub Bobby Decordova-Reid → Harry Wilson
  • 86' Yellow William Saliba
  • 90+2' Yellow Raúl Jiménez
  • 90+3' Sub Tom Cairney → Harrison Reed
  • 90+6' Yellow Bernd Leno

Category leaders

  • Key passesMartin Ødegaard3
  • Duels wonJoão Palhinha8/12
  • DribblesDeclan Rice3/3
  • Defensive actionsAntonee Robinson9
  • ShotsRaúl Jiménez3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonEdward Nketiah3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.