Nottingham Forest 2-1 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 45% – 55%
- Shots 8 (2 on target) – 10 (5)
- Decisive moment: 82' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +1.4
Nicolás Domínguez 64'
Morgan Gibbs-White 82'
Morgan Gibbs-White 82'
HT 0:0
Marcus Rashford 78'
Nottingham Forest 17th → 16th · 20 pts|Manchester United 7th · 31 pts
Manchester United edged xG (0.7–0.76) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchAnthony ElangaDecisive moment82' Morgan Gibbs-White+1.4
Player of the match
Anthony Elanga Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 22 min · level 68 min · Manchester United ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
64'
Nicolás Domínguez
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Gonzalo Montiel +0.3
+1.1
78'
Marcus Rashford
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Alejandro Garnacho +0.3
+0.9
82'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.4
+1.4
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.5Opponent moments −1.3Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestManchester United
45%Possession55%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.76
0.09xG per shot0.08
8Shots10
2Shots on target5
25%Shots on target %50%
4Shots in box6
397Passes489
78%Pass accuracy81%
4Corners5
4Saves0
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards4
1Offsides2
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 0.7 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.76 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 8 | 10.9 | |
| On target | 2 | 3.3 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 13.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 45% | 39.3% | |
| Passes | 397 | 362.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 75.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.7 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.5 |
Manchester United
27 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.76 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.7 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 10 | 13.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 14.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 55% | 52.1% | |
| Passes | 489 | 489.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11 |
Timeline
- 46' Sub Kobbie Mainoo → Scott McTominay
- 54' Sub Antony → Amad Diallo
- 56' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 58' Yellow Diogo Dalot
- 59' Yellow Raphaël Varane
- 64' Goal Nicolás Domínguez league goal #2 assist Gonzalo Montiel
- 74' Sub Gonzalo Montiel → Neco Williams
- 78' Goal Marcus Rashford league goal #3 assist Alejandro Garnacho
- 79' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 82' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #2 assist Anthony Elanga
- 85' Yellow Alejandro Garnacho
- 87' Sub Ola Aina → Harry Toffolo
- 87' Sub Anthony Elanga → Willy Boly
- 87' Sub Danilo → Orel Mangala
- 88' Yellow Orel Mangala
- 90' Sub Aaron Wan-Bissaka → Sergio Reguilón
- 90+9' Yellow Christian Eriksen
Category leaders
- Key passesAnthony Elanga3
- Duels wonAnthony Elanga11/19
- DribblesAlejandro Garnacho4/7
- Defensive actionsOla Aina6
- Fouls wonRyan Yates4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.