Brentford 3-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 48% – 52%
- Shots 11 (5 on target) – 12 (3)
- Decisive moment: 68' Neal Maupay, FN xPts +1.1
Ivan Toney 19'
Ben Mee 58'
Neal Maupay 68'
Ben Mee 58'
Neal Maupay 68'
HT 1:1
Danilo 3'
Chris Wood 65'
Chris Wood 65'
Brentford 17th → 15th · 22 pts|Nottingham Forest 16th → 17th · 20 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (1.2–1.22) but Brentford took the win.
Player of the matchBen MeeDecisive moment68' Neal Maupay+1.1
Player of the match
Ben Mee Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Brentford ahead 29 min · level 45 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 16 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
3'
Danilo
Goal
+0.6
19'
Ivan Toney
Goal
+0.8
58'
Ben Mee
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Mathias Jensen +0.3
+0.9
65'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Callum Hudson-Odoi +0.2
+0.7
68'
Neal Maupay
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Mads Roerslev +0.3
+1.1
Brentford
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −2.0Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BrentfordNottingham Forest
48%Possession52%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.22
0.11xG per shot0.1
11Shots12
5Shots on target3
45%Shots on target %25%
8Shots in box6
456Passes496
75%Pass accuracy81%
6Corners4
1Saves2
10Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
0Offsides2
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.22 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1.2 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 12 | 11.7 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.5 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 13 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 52% | 41.9% | |
| Passes | 496 | 393.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 76.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.1 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.8 |
Timeline
- 3' Goal Danilo league goal #1
- 18' Yellow Orel Mangala
- 19' Goal Ivan Toney league goal #1
- 51' Yellow Danilo
- 54' Yellow Gonzalo Montiel
- 58' Goal Ben Mee league goal #2 assist Mathias Jensen
- 62' Sub Ryan Yates → Neco Williams
- 65' Goal Chris Wood league goal #8 assist Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 66' Yellow Ivan Toney
- 68' Goal Neal Maupay league goal #3 assist Mads Roerslev
- 74' Sub Neal Maupay → Sergio Reguilón
- 74' Sub Mikkel Damsgaard → Shandon Baptiste
- 86' Sub Gonzalo Montiel → Brandon Aguilera
- 90' Sub Mads Roerslev → Kristoffer Ajer
- 90' Sub Keane Lewis-Potter → Joshua Dasilva
- 90+7' Sub Mathias Jensen → Yehor Yarmoliuk
Category leaders
- Key passesChris Wood4
- Duels wonNicolás Domínguez10/18
- DribblesNicolás Domínguez4/6
- Defensive actionsBen Mee5
- ShotsKeane Lewis-Potter3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonIvan Toney4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.