Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Ermedin Demirović 52'
Ermedin Demirović 90+4' (pen)
HT 0:2
Aleksandar Pavlović 23'
Alphonso Davies 45+5'
Harry Kane 58'
Sat, 27 Jan 2024, 14:30 (UK) · WWK Arena, Augsburg
FC Augsburg · 21 pts|Bayern Munich · 47 pts

FC Augsburg edged xG (2.61–2.33) but Bayern Munich took the win.

Player of the matchJamal Musiala8.4Decisive moment23' Aleksandar Pavlović+0.6

FC Augsburg 2-3 Bayern Munich

Key numbers

  • Possession 41% – 59%
  • Shots 15 (7 on target) – 13 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 23' Aleksandar Pavlović, FN xPts +0.6
Player of the match
Jamal Musiala 8.4Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-21-32-3
FC Augsburg ahead 0 min · level 23 min · Bayern Munich ahead 67 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

23' Aleksandar Pavlović Goal +0.6
45+5' Alphonso Davies Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Leon Goretzka +0.1 +0.3
52' Ermedin Demirović Goal · assist Kevin Mbabu +0.2
58' Harry Kane Goal +0.3
90+4' Ermedin Demirović Pen goal 0.0
FC Augsburg Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −0.9Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Bayern Munich Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

FC AugsburgBayern Munich
41%Possession59%
2.61Expected goals (xG)2.33
0.17xG per shot0.18
15Shots13
7Shots on target4
47%Shots on target %31%
11Shots in box11
369Passes556
81%Pass accuracy86%
4Corners5
1Saves5
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards6
4Offsides2

Compared with usual

FC Augsburg

19 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.4
Conceded31.8
xG2.611.3
xG against2.331.6
Shots1512.1
On target73.7
Shots faced1315.4
xG per shot0.170.12
Possession41%41.7%
Passes369370.3
Pass accuracy81%76.3%
Corners43.8
Fouls1212.5

Bayern Munich

26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals32.7
Conceded20.92
xG2.332.3
xG against2.610.74
Shots1319
On target47.4
Shots faced158.6
xG per shot0.180.12
Possession59%62.1%
Passes556634.8
Pass accuracy86%88.7%
Corners57.6
Fouls119.4

Timeline

  • 6' Yellow Matthijs de Ligt
  • 19' Yellow Kevin Mbabu
  • 23' Goal Aleksandar Pavlović league goal #1
  • 26' Sub Kingsley Coman → Mathys Tel
  • 45+5' Goal Alphonso Davies league goal #1 assist Leon Goretzka
  • 52' Goal Ermedin Demirović league goal #9 assist Kevin Mbabu
  • 58' Goal Harry Kane league goal #23
  • 60' VAR Harry Kane
  • 62' Sub Phillip Tietz → Dion Drena Beljo
  • 62' Sub Fredrik Jensen → Arne Engels
  • 62' Sub Elvis Rexhbeçaj → Mads Pedersen
  • 67' Yellow Aleksandar Pavlović
  • 69' Yellow Iago
  • 75' Sub Iago → Arne Maier
  • 80' Yellow Leroy Sané
  • 80' Sub Ruben Vargas → Sven Michel
  • 87' VAR Felix Uduokhai
  • 89' Sub Leroy Sané → Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
  • 89' Sub Jamal Musiala → Thomas Müller
  • 90+4' Goal Ermedin Demirović (pen) league goal #10
  • 90+6' Yellow Leon Goretzka
  • 90+6' Yellow Raphaël Guerreiro
  • 90+7' Sub Aleksandar Pavlović → Lovro Zvonarek
  • 90+8' Yellow Manuel Neuer

Category leaders

  • Key passesLeroy Sané4
  • Duels wonJamal Musiala15/23
  • DribblesJamal Musiala9/12
  • Defensive actionsMads Pedersen7
  • ShotsErmedin Demirović4 (on target 4)
  • Fouls wonJamal Musiala3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.