La Liga · Matchweek 23
Hugo Duro 14'
Roman Yaremchuk 23'
HT 2:0
Sergio Arribas 50'
Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 13:00 (UK) · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia 8th → 7th · 35 pts|Almeria 20th · 6 pts

Almeria edged xG (1.44–1.94) but Valencia took the win.

Player of the matchMarc Pubill7.7Decisive moment14' Hugo Duro+0.6

Valencia 2-1 Almeria

Key numbers

  • Possession 48% – 52%
  • Shots 7 (2 on target) – 15 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 14' Hugo Duro, FN xPts +0.6
Player of the match
Marc Pubill 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

1-02-02-1
Valencia ahead 76 min · level 14 min · Almeria ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

14' Hugo Duro Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Diego Lopez +0.2 +0.6
23' Roman Yaremchuk Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Pepelu +0.1 +0.3
50' Sergio Arribas Goal · assist Álex Centelles +0.2
62' Pepelu Pen miss −0.2
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −0.3Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
Almeria Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ValenciaAlmeria
48%Possession52%
1.44Expected goals (xG)1.94
0.21xG per shot0.13
7Shots15
2Shots on target5
29%Shots on target %33%
5Shots in box6
370Passes407
74%Pass accuracy79%
0Corners6
3Saves0
17Fouls16
4Yellow cards5
2Offsides1

Compared with usual

Valencia

last 9 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.4
Conceded11.1
xG1.440.78
xG against1.941
Shots710.6
On target23.7
Shots faced1510
xG per shot0.210.09
Possession48%46.1%
Passes370429.9
Pass accuracy74%74%
Corners04.1
Fouls1713.2

Almeria

last 7 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.71
Conceded21.7
xG1.941
xG against1.441.9
Shots1512.7
On target53.4
Shots faced715.9
xG per shot0.130.08
Possession52%45%
Passes407383
Pass accuracy79%76%
Corners65.9
Fouls1612

Timeline

  • 14' Goal Hugo Duro league goal #10 assist Diego Lopez
  • 23' Goal Roman Yaremchuk league goal #2 assist Pepelu
  • 24' Yellow Roman Yaremchuk
  • 25' Yellow Javier Guerra
  • 32' VAR Edgar González
  • 34' Sub César Montes → Iddrisu Baba
  • 50' Goal Sergio Arribas league goal #6 assist Álex Centelles
  • 60' VAR Diego Lopez
  • 61' Yellow Álex Centelles
  • 61' Sub Diego Lopez → Fran Pérez
  • 61' Sub Gonzalo Melero → Anthony Lozano
  • 61' Sub Léo Baptistão → Luka Romero
  • 62' Pen miss Pepelu
  • 62' Yellow Cristhian Mosquera
  • 64' Yellow Edgar González
  • 70' Sub Javier Guerra → Jesús Vázquez
  • 70' Sub Roman Yaremchuk → Alberto Mari
  • 72' Yellow Anthony Lozano
  • 73' Yellow Hugo Guillamón
  • 82' Sub Sergio Arribas → Lucas Robertone
  • 82' Sub Chumi → Marko Milovanović
  • 90' Sub Hugo Duro → Selim Amallah
  • 90+4' Yellow Largie Ramazani
  • 90+4' Yellow Lucas Robertone

Category leaders

  • Key passesSergio Arribas3
  • Duels wonMarc Pubill13/16
  • DribblesMarc Pubill5/7
  • Defensive actionsDimitri Foulquier6
  • Fouls wonMarc Pubill4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.