Bournemouth 1-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 44% – 56%
- Shots 9 (2 on target) – 8 (6)
- Decisive moment: 5' Justin Kluivert, FN xPts +0.7
Justin Kluivert 5'
HT 1:1
Callum Hudson-Odoi 45'
Bournemouth 14th → 13th · 27 pts|Nottingham Forest 18th → 17th · 21 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 1.27–0.53.
Player of the matchNicolás DomínguezDecisive moment5' Justin Kluivert+0.7
Player of the match
Nicolás Domínguez Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)
Game state
Bournemouth ahead 40 min · level 50 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
- Bournemouth: Red card 84' → ~6 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
5'
Justin Kluivert
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Luis Sinisterra +0.2
+0.7
45'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal
+0.7
84'
Philip Billing
Red card
−0.1
Bournemouth
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −0.2→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BournemouthNottingham Forest
44%Possession56%
1.27Expected goals (xG)0.53
0.14xG per shot0.07
9Shots8
2Shots on target6
22%Shots on target %75%
4Shots in box3
330Passes427
69%Pass accuracy77%
11Corners6
5Saves0
19Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Bournemouth
26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.27 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.53 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 9 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 2 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 14 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 44% | 45.5% | |
| Passes | 330 | 395 | |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 78.1% | low |
| Corners | 11 | 6.2 | |
| Fouls | 19 | 12.3 | high |
Nottingham Forest
26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 0.53 | 0.99 | |
| xG against | 1.27 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 8 | 11.5 | |
| On target | 6 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 13 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 56% | 42% | |
| Passes | 427 | 397.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77.1% | |
| Corners | 6 | 3.9 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.8 |
Timeline
- 5' Goal Justin Kluivert league goal #3 assist Luis Sinisterra
- 23' Yellow Marcos Senesi
- 35' Yellow Justin Kluivert
- 45' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #2
- 46' Sub Antoine Semenyo → Marcus Tavernier
- 55' Yellow Andrew Omobamidele
- 56' Sub Justin Kluivert → Philip Billing
- 56' Sub Ryan Christie → Alex Scott
- 71' Sub Luis Sinisterra → Dango Ouattara
- 72' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Danilo
- 73' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 78' Sub Anthony Elanga → Giovanni Reyna
- 78' Sub Neco Williams → Gonzalo Montiel
- 83' Sub Lloyd Kelly → Miloš Kerkez
- 84' Red Philip Billing
- 86' Yellow Neto
- 90' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Rodrigo Ribeiro
Category leaders
- Key passesLewis Cook3
- Duels wonRyan Yates15/21
- DribblesLuis Sinisterra3/5
- Defensive actionsNicolás Domínguez10
- Fouls wonRyan Yates5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.