Nottingham Forest 2-3 Newcastle
Key numbers
- Possession 38% – 62%
- Shots 13 (3 on target) – 7 (5)
- Decisive moment: 66' Bruno Guimarães, FN xPts +1.2
Anthony Elanga 26'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 45+6'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 45+6'
HT 2:2
Bruno Guimarães 10'
Fabian Schär 43'
Bruno Guimarães 66'
Fabian Schär 43'
Bruno Guimarães 66'
Nottingham Forest 17th · 21 pts|Newcastle 9th → 7th · 36 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (1.5–0.48) but Newcastle took the win.
Player of the matchBruno GuimarãesDecisive moment66' Bruno Guimarães+1.2
Player of the match
Bruno Guimarães Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 48 min · Newcastle ahead 42 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
10'
Bruno Guimarães
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Kieran Trippier +0.2
+0.7
26'
Anthony Elanga
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.2
+0.7
43'
Fabian Schär
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Sven Botman +0.3
+0.9
45+6'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Nicolás Domínguez +0.2
+0.8
66'
Bruno Guimarães
Goal
+1.2
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −2.2Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −1.7Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestNewcastle
38%Possession62%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.48
0.12xG per shot0.07
13Shots7
3Shots on target5
23%Shots on target %71%
5Shots in box3
365Passes624
79%Pass accuracy88%
4Corners4
2Saves1
9Fouls6
1Yellow cards2
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Newcastle
34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 0.48 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.5 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 7 | 12.6 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 14.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 62% | 49.6% | |
| Passes | 624 | 453.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 81.6% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 10.8 |
Timeline
- 10' Goal Bruno Guimarães league goal #2 assist Kieran Trippier
- 26' Goal Anthony Elanga league goal #5 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 43' Goal Fabian Schär league goal #3 assist Sven Botman
- 45+6' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #3 assist Nicolás Domínguez
- 58' Yellow Sven Botman
- 59' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 60' Sub Miguel Almirón → Harvey Barnes
- 66' Goal Bruno Guimarães league goal #3
- 68' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Divock Origi
- 73' Sub Ryan Yates → Giovanni Reyna
- 78' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Danilo
- 81' Sub Lewis Miley → Valentino Livramento
- 90+2' Sub Anthony Gordon → Emil Krafth
- 90+4' Yellow Callum Wilson
Category leaders
- Key passesNicolás Domínguez2
- Duels wonNeco Williams7/10
- DribblesCallum Hudson-Odoi4/4
- Defensive actionsDan Burn5
- Fouls wonCallum Hudson-Odoi3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.