Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Maximilian Mittelstädt 45+2'
Jamie Leweling 45+4'
Deniz Undav 73'
HT 2:0
Ludovic Ajorque 76'
Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 14:30 (UK) · Stuttgart Arena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart · 43 pts|FSV Mainz 05 · 12 pts

VfB Stuttgart won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.94–1.45).

Player of the matchMaximilian Mittelstädt9.1Decisive moment45+2' Maximilian Mittelstädt+0.8

VfB Stuttgart 3-1 FSV Mainz 05

Key numbers

  • Possession 62% – 38%
  • Shots 11 (7 on target) – 17 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 45+2' Maximilian Mittelstädt, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Maximilian Mittelstädt 9.1Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.1 (Dominant)

Game state

1-02-03-03-1
VfB Stuttgart ahead 45 min · level 45 min · FSV Mainz 05 ahead 0 min
  • Anthony Rouault — off the bench 28 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

45+2' Maximilian Mittelstädt Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Pascal Stenzel +0.2 +0.8
45+4' Jamie Leweling Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Pascal Stenzel +0.1 +0.3
73' Deniz Undav Goal · assist Anthony Rouault 0.0
76' Ludovic Ajorque Goal · assist Josuha Guilavogui 0.0
VfB Stuttgart Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
FSV Mainz 05 Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

VfB StuttgartFSV Mainz 05
62%Possession38%
1.94Expected goals (xG)1.45
0.18xG per shot0.09
11Shots17
7Shots on target6
64%Shots on target %35%
8Shots in box10
686Passes419
87%Pass accuracy81%
4Corners5
5Saves4
7Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Offsides0

Compared with usual

VfB Stuttgart

24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals32.3
Conceded11.2
xG1.941.9
xG against1.450.89
Shots1116.3
On target76.6
Shots faced1710.4
xG per shot0.180.11
Possession62%59%
Passes686595.8
Pass accuracy87%86%
Corners44.8
Fouls79.7

FSV Mainz 05

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.73
Conceded31.6
xG1.450.99
xG against1.941.1
Shots1713.7
On target64
Shots faced1111
xG per shot0.090.08
Possession38%48.2%
Passes419426.4
Pass accuracy81%74.5%
Corners55
Fouls914.6

Timeline

  • 45+2' Goal Maximilian Mittelstädt league goal #2 assist Pascal Stenzel
  • 45+4' Goal Jamie Leweling league goal #2 assist Pascal Stenzel
  • 46' Sub Matondo-Merveille Papela → Jae-Sung Lee
  • 46' Sub Dominik Kohr → Leandro Barreiro
  • 46' Sub Jessic Ngankam → Marco Richter
  • 61' Sub Pascal Stenzel → Josha Vagnoman
  • 62' Sub Jamie Leweling → Serhou Guirassy
  • 62' Sub Chris Führich → Anthony Rouault
  • 70' Sub Andreas Hanche-Olsen → Tom Krauß
  • 73' Goal Deniz Undav league goal #14 assist Anthony Rouault
  • 76' Sub Angelo Stiller → Mahmoud Dahoud
  • 76' Goal Ludovic Ajorque league goal #2 assist Josuha Guilavogui
  • 79' Sub Deniz Undav → Woo-Yeong Jeong
  • 82' Yellow Atakan Karazor
  • 84' Yellow Josuha Guilavogui
  • 84' Sub Josuha Guilavogui → Brajan Gruda

Category leaders

  • Key passesPascal Stenzel3
  • Duels wonMaximilian Mittelstädt11/16
  • DribblesMaximilian Mittelstädt2/2
  • Defensive actionsMaximilian Mittelstädt9
  • ShotsJamie Leweling3 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonAtakan Karazor3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.