Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 56% – 44%
- Shots 23 (10 on target) – 17 (5)
- Decisive moment: 86' Scott McTominay, FN xPts +1.7
Douglas Luiz 67'
HT 0:1
Rasmus Højlund 17'
Scott McTominay 86'
Scott McTominay 86'
Aston Villa 5th · 46 pts|Manchester United 6th · 41 pts
Aston Villa edged xG (2.43–1.79) but Manchester United took the win.
Player of the matchHarry MaguireDecisive moment86' Scott McTominay+1.7
Player of the match
Harry Maguire Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 0 min · level 36 min · Manchester United ahead 54 min
- Scott McTominay — off the bench 17 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
17'
Rasmus Højlund
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Harry Maguire +0.2
+0.8
67'
Douglas Luiz
Goal
+1.0
86'
Scott McTominay
Goal · scorer +1.2 · assist Diogo Dalot +0.5
+1.7
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −1.1→ League points won 0
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +2.5Opponent moments −1.3Time effect +1.0→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaManchester United
56%Possession44%
2.43Expected goals (xG)1.79
0.11xG per shot0.11
23Shots17
10Shots on target5
43%Shots on target %29%
18Shots in box13
491Passes388
87%Pass accuracy80%
10Corners8
3Saves8
9Fouls7
3Yellow cards2
0Offsides6
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.43 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.79 | 1 | |
| Shots | 23 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 10 | 5.7 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 9.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 56% | 58.2% | |
| Passes | 491 | 507.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 85.9% | |
| Corners | 10 | 6.3 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 10.9 |
Manchester United
33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.79 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2.43 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 17 | 14.5 | |
| On target | 5 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 23 | 14.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 44% | 52.5% | |
| Passes | 388 | 489.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 8 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 10.7 |
Timeline
- 17' Goal Rasmus Højlund league goal #5 assist Harry Maguire
- 37' Yellow Casemiro
- 45+4' Yellow Clément Lenglet
- 45+4' Yellow Kobbie Mainoo
- 46' Sub Luke Shaw → Victor Lindelöf
- 60' Yellow Matty Cash
- 65' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Moussa Diaby
- 67' Goal Douglas Luiz league goal #7
- 71' Yellow Moussa Diaby
- 73' Sub Leon Bailey → Youri Tielemans
- 73' Sub Marcus Rashford → Scott McTominay
- 86' Goal Scott McTominay league goal #7 assist Diogo Dalot
- 87' Sub Álex Moreno → Lucas Digne
- 87' Sub John McGinn → Nicolò Zaniolo
- 90+2' Sub Rasmus Højlund → Jonny Evans
- 90+2' Sub Kobbie Mainoo → Sofyan Amrabat
Category leaders
- Key passesBruno Fernandes8
- Duels wonCasemiro13/21
- DribblesMarcus Rashford4/4
- Defensive actionsCasemiro10
- ShotsAlejandro Garnacho4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonCasemiro3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.