Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 15 (4 on target) – 12 (3)
- Decisive moment: 23' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins 8.4Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
0-10-21-2
Fulham ahead 0 min · level 23 min · Aston Villa ahead 67 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
23'
Ollie Watkins
Goal
+0.8
56'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Youri Tielemans +0.2
+0.5
63'
Rodrigo Muniz
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Antonee Robinson +0.1
+0.3
Fulham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
FulhamAston Villa
1.55Expected goals (xG)1.61
Compared with usual
Fulham
32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.55 | 0.95 | |
| xG against | 1.61 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 12.3 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 13.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 52% | 51.3% | |
| Passes | 450 | 501.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 81.3% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 9.5 | |
Aston Villa
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.61 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.55 | 1 | |
| Shots | 12 | 14.7 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 9.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 48% | 58.2% | |
| Passes | 425 | 506.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.4 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 10.8 | |
Timeline
- 23'
Goal
Ollie Watkins league goal #12
- 32'
Yellow
John McGinn
- 46'
Sub
Willian → Alex Iwobi
- 56'
Goal
Ollie Watkins league goal #13 assist Youri Tielemans
- 63'
Goal
Rodrigo Muniz league goal #4 assist Antonee Robinson
- 64'
Sub
Bobby Decordova-Reid → Harry Wilson
- 74'
Yellow
Álex Moreno
- 75'
Sub
Andreas Pereira → Adama Traoré
- 75'
Sub
Tim Ream → Calvin Bassey
- 81'
Sub
Leon Bailey → Moussa Diaby
- 81'
Sub
Álex Moreno → Lucas Digne
- 86'
Yellow
João Palhinha
- 89'
Yellow
Timothy Castagne
- 89'
Sub
João Palhinha → Saša Lukić
- 90'
Yellow
Saša Lukić
- 90+3'
Yellow
Adama Traoré
- 90+4'
Yellow
Harry Wilson
- 90+4'
Sub
Youri Tielemans → Tim Iroegbunam
Category leaders
- Key passesAndreas Pereira4
- Duels wonJohn McGinn7/12
- DribblesTom Cairney3/3
- Defensive actionsAntonee Robinson5
- ShotsRodrigo Muniz8 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonJohn McGinn4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.