Premier League · Matchweek 25
Rodrigo Muniz 63'
HT 0:1
Ollie Watkins 23'
Ollie Watkins 56'
Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 15:00 (UK) · Craven Cottage, London
Fulham 12th → 13th · 29 pts|Aston Villa 5th → 4th · 49 pts

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.55–1.61).

Player of the matchOllie Watkins8.4Decisive moment23' Ollie Watkins+0.8

Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 52% – 48%
  • Shots 15 (4 on target) – 12 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 23' Ollie Watkins, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins 8.4Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-2
Fulham ahead 0 min · level 23 min · Aston Villa ahead 67 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

23' Ollie Watkins Goal +0.8
56' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Youri Tielemans +0.2 +0.5
63' Rodrigo Muniz Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Antonee Robinson +0.1 +0.3
Fulham Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

FulhamAston Villa
52%Possession48%
1.55Expected goals (xG)1.61
0.1xG per shot0.13
15Shots12
4Shots on target3
27%Shots on target %25%
11Shots in box7
450Passes425
85%Pass accuracy85%
4Corners4
1Saves3
11Fouls6
5Yellow cards2
2Offsides6

Compared with usual

Fulham

32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.3
Conceded21.5
xG1.550.95
xG against1.611.3
Shots1512.3
On target44.2
Shots faced1213.3
xG per shot0.10.08
Possession52%51.3%
Passes450501.6
Pass accuracy85%81.3%
Corners45.9
Fouls119.5

Aston Villa

36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22
Conceded11.2
xG1.611.5
xG against1.551
Shots1214.7
On target35.8
Shots faced159.5
xG per shot0.130.1
Possession48%58.2%
Passes425506.9
Pass accuracy85%85.9%
Corners46.4
Fouls610.8

Timeline

  • 23' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #12
  • 32' Yellow John McGinn
  • 46' Sub Willian → Alex Iwobi
  • 56' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #13 assist Youri Tielemans
  • 63' Goal Rodrigo Muniz league goal #4 assist Antonee Robinson
  • 64' Sub Bobby Decordova-Reid → Harry Wilson
  • 74' Yellow Álex Moreno
  • 75' Sub Andreas Pereira → Adama Traoré
  • 75' Sub Tim Ream → Calvin Bassey
  • 81' Sub Leon Bailey → Moussa Diaby
  • 81' Sub Álex Moreno → Lucas Digne
  • 86' Yellow João Palhinha
  • 89' Yellow Timothy Castagne
  • 89' Sub João Palhinha → Saša Lukić
  • 90' Yellow Saša Lukić
  • 90+3' Yellow Adama Traoré
  • 90+4' Yellow Harry Wilson
  • 90+4' Sub Youri Tielemans → Tim Iroegbunam

Category leaders

  • Key passesAndreas Pereira4
  • Duels wonJohn McGinn7/12
  • DribblesTom Cairney3/3
  • Defensive actionsAntonee Robinson5
  • ShotsRodrigo Muniz8 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonJohn McGinn4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.