Nottingham Forest 2-0 West Ham
Key numbers
- Possession 48% – 52%
- Shots 19 (8 on target) – 10 (3)
- Decisive moment: 45+5' Taiwo Awoniyi, FN xPts +0.9
Taiwo Awoniyi 45+5'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 90+4'
Callum Hudson-Odoi 90+4'
HT 1:0
Nottingham Forest 17th → 16th · 24 pts|West Ham 8th · 36 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.82–0.5).
Player of the matchCallum Hudson-OdoiDecisive moment45+5' Taiwo Awoniyi+0.9
Player of the match
Callum Hudson-Odoi Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 45 min · level 45 min · West Ham ahead 0 min
- West Ham: Red card 71' → ~19 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45+5'
Taiwo Awoniyi
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Nicolás Domínguez +0.3
+0.9
71'
Kalvin Phillips
Red card
−0.1
90+4'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · assist Anthony Elanga
0.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.9Opponent moments +0.1Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
West Ham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments −0.1Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestWest Ham
48%Possession52%
2.82Expected goals (xG)0.5
0.15xG per shot0.05
19Shots10
8Shots on target3
42%Shots on target %30%
13Shots in box6
406Passes430
82%Pass accuracy83%
5Corners2
3Saves6
13Fouls15
4Yellow cards6
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
West Ham
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.5 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 2.82 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 10 | 11.4 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 15.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 52% | 44.7% | |
| Passes | 430 | 432 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 79.3% | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.9 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 10.2 |
Timeline
- 8' Yellow Mohammed Kudus
- 9' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 36' Yellow Michail Antonio
- 45+5' Goal Taiwo Awoniyi league goal #6 assist Nicolás Domínguez
- 45+6' Yellow Taiwo Awoniyi
- 57' Yellow Kurt Zouma
- 60' Yellow Neco Williams
- 67' Sub Taiwo Awoniyi → Divock Origi
- 68' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
- 68' Yellow Kalvin Phillips
- 68' Yellow Vladimír Coufal
- 71' Second yellow Kalvin Phillips
- 75' Sub Michail Antonio → Maxwel Cornet
- 76' Sub Vladimír Coufal → Ben Johnson
- 83' Sub Emerson Palmieri → Tomáš Souček
- 86' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 90+3' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Andrew Omobamidele
- 90+3' Sub Kurt Zouma → Danny Ings
- 90+4' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #4 assist Anthony Elanga
Category leaders
- Key passesAnthony Elanga4
- Duels wonNeco Williams8/14
- DribblesMohammed Kudus5/7
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams6
- ShotsAnthony Elanga4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonCallum Hudson-Odoi3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.