La Liga · Matchweek 25
Raúl de Tomás 27' (pen)
HT 1:1
Joselu 3'
Sun, 18 Feb 2024, 13:00 (UK) · Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 15th → 14th · 25 pts|Real Madrid 1st · 62 pts

1-1 draw, with xG at 1.16–1.12.

Player of the matchFederico Valverde7.6Decisive moment3' Joselu+0.5

Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Madrid

Key numbers

  • Possession 40% – 60%
  • Shots 8 (3 on target) – 11 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 3' Joselu, FN xPts +0.5
Player of the match
Federico Valverde 7.6Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-1
Rayo Vallecano ahead 0 min · level 66 min · Real Madrid ahead 24 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

3' Joselu Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Federico Valverde +0.2 +0.5
27' Raúl de Tomás Pen goal +0.5
90+5' Daniel Carvajal Red card 0.0
Rayo Vallecano Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.3→ League points won 1
Real Madrid Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −1.1→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid
40%Possession60%
1.16Expected goals (xG)1.12
0.14xG per shot0.1
8Shots11
3Shots on target4
38%Shots on target %36%
7Shots in box7
336Passes513
79%Pass accuracy86%
4Corners10
3Saves2
17Fouls7
4Yellow cards3
4Offsides2

Compared with usual

Rayo Vallecano

last 11 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.73
Conceded11.2
xG1.160.88
xG against1.120.54
Shots813.5
On target33.2
Shots faced118.7
xG per shot0.140.07
Possession40%52.3%
Passes336454.7
Pass accuracy79%79.6%
Corners45
Fouls1713.6

Real Madrid

last 7 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals12.1
Conceded11.1
xG1.121.9
xG against1.160.75
Shots1116.3
On target45.7
Shots faced810.6
xG per shot0.10.12
Possession60%56.6%
Passes513613.6
Pass accuracy86%90.1%
Corners104.6
Fouls79.7

Timeline

  • 3' Goal Joselu league goal #8 assist Federico Valverde
  • 5' VAR Joselu
  • 26' VAR Óscar Trejo
  • 27' Goal Raúl de Tomás (pen) league goal #1
  • 45+1' Yellow Isi Palazón
  • 45+4' Yellow Iván Balliu
  • 56' Sub Isi Palazón → Jorge de Frutos
  • 61' Yellow Eduardo Camavinga
  • 64' Sub Óscar Trejo → Miguel Crespo
  • 64' Sub Unai López → Kike Pérez
  • 70' Sub Eduardo Camavinga → Toni Kroos
  • 70' Sub Brahim Díaz → Rodrygo
  • 75' Sub Lucas Vázquez → Daniel Carvajal
  • 81' Yellow Raúl de Tomás
  • 81' Sub Raúl de Tomás → Radamel Falcao
  • 82' Yellow Álvaro García
  • 82' Sub Álvaro García → Sergio Camello
  • 87' Sub Luka Modrić → Arda Güler
  • 90+3' Yellow Daniel Carvajal
  • 90+5' Second yellow Daniel Carvajal

Category leaders

  • Key passesLuka Modrić3
  • Duels wonEduardo Camavinga13/18
  • DribblesBrahim Díaz3/4
  • Defensive actionsEduardo Camavinga11
  • ShotsJoselu3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonLuka Modrić3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.