Luton 1-2 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 59% – 41%
- Shots 22 (4 on target) – 21 (9)
- Decisive moment: 1' Rasmus Højlund, FN xPts +0.7
Carlton Morris 14'
HT 1:2
Rasmus Højlund 1'
Rasmus Højlund 7'
Rasmus Højlund 7'
Luton 18th · 20 pts|Manchester United 6th · 44 pts
Manchester United won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.82–2.98).
Player of the matchRasmus HøjlundDecisive moment1' Rasmus Højlund+0.7
Player of the match
Rasmus Højlund Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)
Game state
Luton ahead 0 min · level 1 min · Manchester United ahead 89 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
1'
Rasmus Højlund
Goal
+0.7
7'
Rasmus Højlund
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Alejandro Garnacho +0.2
+0.6
14'
Carlton Morris
Goal
+0.5
Luton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.9→ League points won 0
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +1.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LutonManchester United
59%Possession41%
1.82Expected goals (xG)2.98
0.08xG per shot0.14
22Shots21
4Shots on target9
18%Shots on target %43%
13Shots in box13
528Passes391
84%Pass accuracy76%
8Corners6
6Saves3
7Fouls21
3Yellow cards5
4Offsides1
Compared with usual
Luton
last 4 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| xG | 1.82 | 1.9 | |
| xG against | 2.98 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 22 | 15.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 6.5 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 12.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 59% | 54% | |
| Passes | 528 | 424.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 77.5% | |
| Corners | 8 | 7.3 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 12.3 |
Manchester United
34 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 2.98 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.82 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 21 | 14.6 | |
| On target | 9 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 22 | 15 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 41% | 52.3% | |
| Passes | 391 | 486.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 6 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 21 | 10.6 | high |
Timeline
- 1' Goal Rasmus Højlund league goal #6
- 7' Goal Rasmus Højlund league goal #7 assist Alejandro Garnacho
- 14' Goal Carlton Morris league goal #7
- 17' Yellow Cauley Woodrow
- 20' Yellow Luke Shaw
- 34' Yellow Casemiro
- 42' Yellow Harry Maguire
- 45+2' Sub Luke Shaw → Victor Lindelöf
- 46' Sub Casemiro → Scott McTominay
- 46' Sub Harry Maguire → Jonny Evans
- 68' Sub Cauley Woodrow → Andros Townsend
- 68' Sub Tahith Chong → Jordan Clark
- 70' Yellow Andros Townsend
- 75' Yellow Kobbie Mainoo
- 81' Yellow Victor Lindelöf
- 82' Sub Alfie Doughty → Luke Berry
- 86' Sub Rasmus Højlund → Sofyan Amrabat
- 87' Yellow Gabriel Osho
Category leaders
- Key passesAlejandro Garnacho5
- Duels wonRoss Barkley11/13
- DribblesKobbie Mainoo6/7
- Defensive actionsDiogo Dalot8
- ShotsCarlton Morris4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonCarlton Morris6
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.