AC Milan 1-1 Atalanta
Key numbers
- Possession 68% – 32%
- Shots 20 (7 on target) – 8 (3)
- Decisive moment: 3' Rafael Leão, FN xPts +0.7
Rafael Leão 3'
HT 1:1
Teun Koopmeiners 42' (pen)
AC Milan 3rd · 53 pts|Atalanta 5th · 46 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 1.3–1.12.
Player of the matchRafael LeãoDecisive moment3' Rafael Leão+0.7
Player of the match
Rafael Leão Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)
Game state
AC Milan ahead 39 min · level 51 min · Atalanta ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
3'
Rafael Leão
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Theo Hernández +0.2
+0.7
42'
Teun Koopmeiners
Pen goal
+0.7
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
Atalanta
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
AC MilanAtalanta
68%Possession32%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.12
0.07xG per shot0.14
20Shots8
7Shots on target3
35%Shots on target %38%
11Shots in box6
628Passes294
88%Pass accuracy73%
5Corners3
2Saves5
12Fouls16
1Yellow cards4
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
AC Milan
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.3 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.12 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 20 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 68% | 53.4% | |
| Passes | 628 | 474.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 85.4% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.1 |
Atalanta
32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.91 | |
| xG | 1.12 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.3 | 1 | |
| Shots | 8 | 15.2 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.9 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 10.9 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 32% | 52% | low |
| Passes | 294 | 490.9 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 81.8% | |
| Corners | 3 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 12.7 |
Timeline
- 3' Goal Rafael Leão league goal #4 assist Theo Hernández
- 40' VAR Emil Holm
- 42' Goal Teun Koopmeiners (pen) league goal #8
- 44' Yellow Marten de Roon
- 45+3' Yellow Rafael Leão
- 45+3' Yellow Emil Holm
- 46' Sub Charles De Ketelaere → Ademola Lookman
- 46' Sub Emil Holm → Davide Zappacosta
- 56' Yellow Ademola Lookman
- 57' Sub Alessandro Florenzi → Davide Calabria
- 63' Sub Aleksei Miranchuk → Gianluca Scamacca
- 79' Sub Ismaël Bennacer → Yunus Musah
- 79' Sub Matteo Ruggeri → Isak Hien
- 88' Sub Christian Pulisic → Noah Okafor
- 89' Sub Giorgio Scalvini → Rafael Tolói
- 90+4' Yellow Éderson
Category leaders
- Key passesTheo Hernández5
- Duels wonRafael Leão11/16
- DribblesRuben Loftus-Cheek6/6
- Defensive actionsBerat Djimsiti6
- ShotsRuben Loftus-Cheek4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonTheo Hernández4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.