Lazio 0-1 AC Milan
Key numbers
- Possession 38% – 62%
- Shots 11 (3 on target) – 14 (5)
- Decisive moment: 88' Noah Okafor, FN xPts +1.7
HT 0:0
Noah Okafor 88'
Lazio 9th · 40 pts|AC Milan 3rd · 56 pts
Lazio edged xG (1.33–1) but AC Milan took the win.
Player of the matchTheo HernándezDecisive moment88' Noah Okafor+1.7
Player of the match
Theo Hernández Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Lazio ahead 0 min · level 88 min · AC Milan ahead 2 min
- Lazio: Red card 57' → ~33 min a player down
- Noah Okafor — off the bench 19 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
57'
Luca Pellegrini
Red card
−0.3
88'
Noah Okafor
Goal
+1.7
90+4'
Adam Marušić
Red card
0.0
90+6'
Mattéo Guendouzi
Red card
0.0
Lazio
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments −0.3Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.7Opponent moments +0.3Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LazioAC Milan
38%Possession62%
1.33Expected goals (xG)1
0.12xG per shot0.07
11Shots14
3Shots on target5
27%Shots on target %36%
6Shots in box10
313Passes510
80%Pass accuracy89%
2Corners5
4Saves3
17Fouls19
5Yellow cards6
0Offsides3
Compared with usual
Lazio
35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| xG | 1.33 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 11 | 11.1 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.6 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 38% | 50% | |
| Passes | 313 | 507.4 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 84.8% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 11.2 |
AC Milan
36 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.33 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 14 | 13.9 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.3 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 13.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 62% | 53.8% | |
| Passes | 510 | 479 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 85.5% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 19 | 11.1 | high |
Timeline
- 50' Yellow Luca Pellegrini
- 57' Second yellow Luca Pellegrini
- 58' Yellow Alessio Romagnoli
- 60' Sub Luis Alberto → Elseid Hysaj
- 60' Sub Valentín Castellanos → Ciro Immobile
- 61' Yellow Alessandro Florenzi
- 64' Sub Alessandro Florenzi → Davide Calabria
- 64' Sub Ismaël Bennacer → Tijjani Reijnders
- 66' Sub Mattia Zaccagni → Gustav Isaksen
- 70' Yellow Yacine Adli
- 71' Sub Yacine Adli → Noah Okafor
- 76' Yellow Ciro Immobile
- 77' VAR Mario Gila Fuentes
- 78' Sub Matías Vecino → Danilo Cataldi
- 80' Yellow Matteo Gabbia
- 81' Sub Simon Kjær → Fikayo Tomori
- 81' Sub Matteo Gabbia → Malick Thiaw
- 84' Yellow Theo Hernández
- 88' Goal Noah Okafor league goal #5
- 90' Yellow Elseid Hysaj
- 90+4' Red Adam Marušić
- 90+5' Yellow Rafael Leão
- 90+6' Red Mattéo Guendouzi
- 90+6' Yellow Christian Pulisic
Category leaders
- Key passesTheo Hernández3
- Duels wonMattia Zaccagni12/15
- DribblesMattia Zaccagni5/5
- Defensive actionsMatías Vecino6
- ShotsOlivier Giroud4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonMattéo Guendouzi4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.