Luton 2-3 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 47% – 53%
- Shots 14 (5 on target) – 12 (8)
- Decisive moment: 89' Lucas Digne, FN xPts +1.8
Tahith Chong 66'
Carlton Morris 72'
Carlton Morris 72'
HT 0:2
Ollie Watkins 24'
Ollie Watkins 38'
Lucas Digne 89'
Ollie Watkins 38'
Lucas Digne 89'
Luton 18th · 20 pts|Aston Villa 4th · 55 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.77–1.95).
Player of the matchOllie WatkinsDecisive moment89' Lucas Digne+1.8
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Luton ahead 0 min · level 41 min · Aston Villa ahead 49 min
- Lucas Digne — off the bench 11 min · 1G 0A
- Moussa Diaby — off the bench 11 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
24'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Leon Bailey +0.2
+0.8
38'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Douglas Luiz +0.2
+0.5
66'
Tahith Chong
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Reece Burke +0.1
+0.3
72'
Carlton Morris
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Alfie Doughty +0.3
+0.9
89'
Lucas Digne
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Moussa Diaby +0.5
+1.8
Luton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −2.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +3.1Opponent moments −1.7Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LutonAston Villa
47%Possession53%
1.77Expected goals (xG)1.95
0.13xG per shot0.16
14Shots12
5Shots on target8
36%Shots on target %67%
11Shots in box12
365Passes444
84%Pass accuracy85%
8Corners6
5Saves2
8Fouls19
1Yellow cards4
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Luton
last 7 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2.9 | |
| xG | 1.77 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.95 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 14 | 15.9 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.7 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 16.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 47% | 51% | |
| Passes | 365 | 419 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 78.6% | |
| Corners | 8 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 11 |
Aston Villa
38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.95 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.77 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 12 | 14.6 | |
| On target | 8 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 9.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 53% | 57.9% | |
| Passes | 444 | 504.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86.1% | |
| Corners | 6 | 6.4 | |
| Fouls | 19 | 10.6 |
Timeline
- 5' Sub Amari'i Bell → Chiedozie Ogbene
- 24' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #15 assist Leon Bailey
- 29' Sub Jacob Ramsey → Morgan Rogers
- 38' Yellow Reece Burke
- 38' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #16 assist Douglas Luiz
- 40' VAR Ollie Watkins
- 45' Yellow Douglas Luiz
- 45+5' Yellow Leon Bailey
- 50' Yellow Morgan Rogers
- 53' Sub Andros Townsend → Daiki Hashioka
- 66' Goal Tahith Chong league goal #2 assist Reece Burke
- 72' Goal Carlton Morris league goal #8 assist Alfie Doughty
- 79' Sub Morgan Rogers → Tim Iroegbunam
- 79' Sub Youri Tielemans → Nicolò Zaniolo
- 79' Sub Álex Moreno → Lucas Digne
- 79' Sub Leon Bailey → Moussa Diaby
- 84' Sub Tahith Chong → Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
- 89' Goal Lucas Digne league goal #1 assist Moussa Diaby
- 90+2' Yellow Nicolò Zaniolo
Category leaders
- Key passesLeon Bailey4
- Duels wonChiedozie Ogbene10/13
- DribblesChiedozie Ogbene3/4
- Defensive actionsTeden Mengi7
- ShotsOllie Watkins5 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonTahith Chong5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.