La Liga · Matchweek 27
Hugo Duro 27'
Roman Yaremchuk 30'
HT 2:1
Vinícius Júnior 45+5'
Vinícius Júnior 76'
Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 20:00 (UK) · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia 9th → 8th · 37 pts|Real Madrid 1st · 66 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 1.15–2.21.

Player of the matchVinícius Júnior7.8Decisive moment76' Vinícius Júnior+1.0

Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid

Key numbers

  • Possession 29% – 71%
  • Shots 12 (5 on target) – 10 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 76' Vinícius Júnior, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Vinícius Júnior 7.8Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)

Game state

1-02-02-12-2
Valencia ahead 49 min · level 41 min · Real Madrid ahead 0 min
  • Brahim Díaz — off the bench 27 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

27' Hugo Duro Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Fran Pérez +0.3 +0.9
30' Roman Yaremchuk Goal +0.6
45+5' Vinícius Júnior Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Rodrygo +0.1 +0.4
76' Vinícius Júnior Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Brahim Díaz +0.3 +1.0
90+9' Jude Bellingham Red card 0.0
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −2.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 1
Real Madrid Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ValenciaReal Madrid
29%Possession71%
1.15Expected goals (xG)2.21
0.1xG per shot0.22
12Shots10
5Shots on target5
42%Shots on target %50%
6Shots in box5
297Passes739
77%Pass accuracy90%
2Corners2
3Saves3
19Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

Valencia

last 12 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.3
Conceded21.1
xG1.150.83
xG against2.211
Shots1210.3
On target53.3
Shots faced109.5
xG per shot0.10.09
Possession29%45.3%
Passes297422.4
Pass accuracy77%74.2%
Corners23.7
Fouls1912.5high

Real Madrid

last 9 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.9
Conceded21
xG2.211.7
xG against1.150.81
Shots1015.7low
On target55.6
Shots faced129.6
xG per shot0.220.11high
Possession71%57.8%
Passes739605.2
Pass accuracy90%89.8%
Corners25.4
Fouls119.4

Timeline

  • 4' Yellow Roman Yaremchuk
  • 27' Goal Hugo Duro league goal #11 assist Fran Pérez
  • 30' Goal Roman Yaremchuk league goal #3
  • 45+5' Goal Vinícius Júnior league goal #8 assist Rodrygo
  • 57' Sub Sergi Canós → Hugo Guillamón
  • 57' Sub Roman Yaremchuk → Diego Lopez
  • 63' Sub Rodrygo → Brahim Díaz
  • 63' Sub Toni Kroos → Luka Modrić
  • 72' Yellow Vinícius Júnior
  • 72' Sub Ferland Mendy → Fran García
  • 72' Sub Eduardo Camavinga → Joselu
  • 73' Sub Javier Guerra → Selim Amallah
  • 73' Sub Fran Pérez → Peter González
  • 76' Goal Vinícius Júnior league goal #9 assist Brahim Díaz
  • 80' Yellow Federico Valverde
  • 83' Yellow Mouctar Diakhaby
  • 86' Sub Federico Valverde → Nacho Fernández
  • 89' Sub Mouctar Diakhaby → Cenk Özkaçar
  • 90+3' VAR Hugo Duro
  • 90+9' Yellow Joselu
  • 90+9' Red Jude Bellingham

Category leaders

  • Key passesFerland Mendy3
  • Duels wonEduardo Camavinga7/11
  • DribblesHugo Guillamón2/2
  • Defensive actionsPepelu7
  • ShotsVinícius Júnior3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonRodrygo4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.