Premier League · Matchweek 28
Andrew Omobamidele 29' (OG)
HT 1:0
Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 14:00 (UK) · American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Brighton 10th → 7th · 42 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 24 pts

Nottingham Forest edged xG (0.43–0.7) but Brighton took the win.

Player of the matchPascal Groß8.2

Brighton 1-0 Nottingham Forest

Key numbers

  • Possession 64% – 36%
  • Shots 10 (3 on target) – 9 (4)
Player of the match
Pascal Groß 8.2Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)

Game state

1-0
Brighton ahead 61 min · level 29 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

29' Andrew Omobamidele Own goal −0.4
Brighton Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments 0.0Opponent moments +0.5Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest Expected (last two seasons) 0.5Own moments −0.4Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BrightonNottingham Forest
64%Possession36%
0.43Expected goals (xG)0.7
0.04xG per shot0.08
10Shots9
3Shots on target4
30%Shots on target %44%
6Shots in box6
680Passes375
92%Pass accuracy83%
6Corners3
4Saves3
14Fouls14
4Yellow cards4
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Brighton

38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.8
Conceded01.6
xG0.431.5
xG against0.71.2
Shots1014.4
On target35.6
Shots faced911.5
xG per shot0.040.11
Possession64%62.2%
Passes680637.3
Pass accuracy92%88.6%
Corners65.6
Fouls1410.4

Nottingham Forest

last 5 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.2
Conceded11.8
xG0.71.6
xG against0.431.3
Shots913.2
On target44.2
Shots faced1015
xG per shot0.080.13
Possession36%39.2%
Passes375348.2
Pass accuracy83%79.4%
Corners33.8
Fouls1411.2

Timeline

  • 14' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
  • 19' Yellow Andrew Omobamidele
  • 29' Goal Andrew Omobamidele (OG)
  • 41' Yellow Ansu Fati
  • 55' Yellow Neco Williams
  • 60' Sub Evan Ferguson → Danny Welbeck
  • 60' Sub Ansu Fati → Tariq Lamptey
  • 60' Sub Divock Origi → Anthony Elanga
  • 61' Sub Danilo → Ibrahim Sangaré
  • 67' Yellow Jakub Moder
  • 72' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Callum Hudson-Odoi
  • 72' Sub Ryan Yates → Taiwo Awoniyi
  • 76' Sub Pervis Estupiñán → Igor Júlio
  • 76' Sub Jakub Moder → Julio Enciso
  • 78' Yellow Joël Veltman
  • 80' Sub Simon Adingra → Adam Lallana
  • 87' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Cheikhou Kouyaté
  • 90+5' Yellow Ibrahim Sangaré
  • 90+7' Yellow Adam Lallana

Category leaders

  • Key passesMorgan Gibbs-White4
  • Duels wonNeco Williams11/14
  • DribblesCarlos Baleba2/2
  • Defensive actionsNeco Williams7
  • Fouls wonJoël Veltman6

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.