La Liga · Matchweek 28
Adrián Embarba 38'
Marko Milovanović 90+5'
HT 1:0
Dodi Lukebakio 81'
Lucas Ocampos 86'
Mon, 11 Mar 2024, 20:00 (UK) · Power Horse Stadium, Almería
Almeria 20th · 10 pts|Sevilla 14th · 28 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 1.61–2.23.

Player of the matchLucas Ocampos8.5Decisive moment86' Lucas Ocampos+1.6

Almeria 2-2 Sevilla

Key numbers

  • Possession 43% – 57%
  • Shots 14 (4 on target) – 19 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 86' Lucas Ocampos, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Lucas Ocampos 8.5Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-22-2
Almeria ahead 43 min · level 43 min · Sevilla ahead 4 min
  • Sergio Arribas — off the bench 16 min · 0G 1A
  • Marko Milovanović — off the bench 12 min · 1G 0A
  • Dodi Lukebakio — off the bench 19 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

38' Adrián Embarba Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jonathan Viera +0.3 +0.9
81' Dodi Lukebakio Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Isaac Romero +0.3 +1.0
86' Lucas Ocampos Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Isaac Romero +0.5 +1.6
90+5' Marko Milovanović Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Sergio Arribas +0.3 +1.0
Almeria Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −2.5Time effect +0.3→ League points won 1
Sevilla Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +2.6Opponent moments −2.7Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

AlmeriaSevilla
43%Possession57%
1.61Expected goals (xG)2.23
0.12xG per shot0.12
14Shots19
4Shots on target6
29%Shots on target %32%
7Shots in box15
409Passes547
78%Pass accuracy80%
1Corners8
4Saves2
6Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
2Offsides2

Compared with usual

Almeria

last 12 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals20.75
Conceded21.5
xG1.610.99
xG against2.231.7
Shots1411.6
On target43.3
Shots faced1915.2
xG per shot0.120.08
Possession43%43.3%
Passes409366.4
Pass accuracy78%76.3%
Corners14.8
Fouls613.8

Sevilla

last 17 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.1
Conceded21.5
xG2.230.78high
xG against1.611.2
Shots1910.4
On target63.8
Shots faced1412.4
xG per shot0.120.08
Possession57%49.1%
Passes547451.4
Pass accuracy80%80.1%
Corners84.2
Fouls1112.2

Timeline

  • 38' Goal Adrián Embarba league goal #1 assist Jonathan Viera
  • 43' Yellow Loïc Badé
  • 60' Sub Jesús Navas → Marcos Acuña
  • 60' Sub Djibril Sow → Suso
  • 65' Sub Anthony Lozano → Léo Baptistão
  • 66' Sub Luka Romero → Lucas Robertone
  • 71' Sub Youssef En-Nesyri → Dodi Lukebakio
  • 71' Sub Óliver Torres → Nemanja Gudelj
  • 81' Goal Dodi Lukebakio league goal #3 assist Isaac Romero
  • 84' Yellow Dion Lopy
  • 84' Sub Jonathan Viera → Sergio Arribas
  • 86' Goal Lucas Ocampos league goal #4 assist Isaac Romero
  • 88' Sub Dion Lopy → Marko Milovanović
  • 88' Sub Adrián Embarba → Largie Ramazani
  • 90+5' Goal Marko Milovanović league goal #1 assist Sergio Arribas
  • 90+6' Yellow Edgar González

Category leaders

  • Key passesJonathan Viera4
  • Duels wonLucas Ocampos11/18
  • DribblesYoussef En-Nesyri2/2
  • Defensive actionsLoïc Badé6
  • ShotsIsaac Romero5 (on target 3)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.