Burnley 2-1 Brentford
Key numbers
- Possession 61% – 39%
- Shots 17 (6 on target) – 9 (5)
- Decisive moment: 10' Jacob Bruun Larsen, FN xPts +0.7
Jacob Bruun Larsen 10' (pen)
David Datro Fofana 62'
David Datro Fofana 62'
HT 1:0
Kristoffer Ajer 83'
Burnley 19th · 17 pts|Brentford 16th · 26 pts
Burnley won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.77–1.16).
Player of the matchKristoffer AjerDecisive moment10' Jacob Bruun Larsen+0.7
Player of the match
Kristoffer Ajer Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)
Game state
Burnley ahead 80 min · level 10 min · Brentford ahead 0 min
- Brentford: Red card 8' → ~82 min a player down
- Shandon Baptiste — off the bench 10 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
8'
Sergio Reguilón
Red card
−0.6
10'
Jacob Bruun Larsen
Pen goal
+0.7
62'
David Datro Fofana
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Wilson Odobert +0.2
+0.5
83'
Kristoffer Ajer
Goal · assist Shandon Baptiste
+0.2
Burnley
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.2Opponent moments +0.3Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3
Brentford
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments −0.4Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BurnleyBrentford
61%Possession39%
2.77Expected goals (xG)1.16
0.16xG per shot0.13
17Shots9
6Shots on target5
35%Shots on target %56%
10Shots in box8
457Passes292
80%Pass accuracy63%
5Corners4
5Saves4
14Fouls17
2Yellow cards4
5Offsides3
Compared with usual
Burnley
32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.1 | |
| xG | 2.77 | 0.81 | high |
| xG against | 1.16 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 17 | 10.3 | |
| On target | 6 | 3.3 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 14.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 61% | 47.4% | |
| Passes | 457 | 441.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 78.4% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.3 |
Brentford
last 9 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2.3 | |
| xG | 1.16 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2.77 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 9 | 10.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.9 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 18.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 39% | 35.9% | |
| Passes | 292 | 335.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 63% | 69.2% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.8 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 8.3 | high |
Timeline
- 5' VAR Vitinho
- 8' Red Sergio Reguilón
- 10' Goal Jacob Bruun Larsen (pen) league goal #3
- 59' Sub Mads Roerslev → Keane Lewis-Potter
- 59' Sub Frank Onyeka → Yehor Yarmoliuk
- 62' Goal David Datro Fofana league goal #4 assist Wilson Odobert
- 68' Yellow Vitaly Janelt
- 69' Sub Jacob Bruun Larsen → Zeki Amdouni
- 79' Sub Mathias Jensen → Neal Maupay
- 80' Sub Yoane Wissa → Bryan Mbeumo
- 80' Sub Vitaly Janelt → Shandon Baptiste
- 81' Yellow Zeki Amdouni
- 83' Goal Kristoffer Ajer league goal #1 assist Shandon Baptiste
- 84' Yellow Kristoffer Ajer
- 88' Sub David Datro Fofana → Lyle Foster
- 90+1' Yellow Charlie Taylor
- 90+5' Sub Zeki Amdouni → Josh Brownhill
- 90+10' Yellow Ivan Toney
- 90+13' Yellow Shandon Baptiste
Category leaders
- Key passesLorenz Assignon4
- Duels wonMathias Jensen13/20
- DribblesLorenz Assignon2/5
- Defensive actionsMathias Jensen10
- ShotsDavid Datro Fofana3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonIvan Toney4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.