Sevilla 1-2 Celta Vigo
Key numbers
- Possession 35% – 65%
- Shots 11 (4 on target) – 18 (5)
- Decisive moment: 78' Jørgen Strand Larsen, FN xPts +1.5
Youssef En-Nesyri 18'
HT 1:0
Carles Pérez 72'
Jørgen Strand Larsen 78'
Jørgen Strand Larsen 78'
Sevilla 15th · 28 pts|Celta Vigo 17th → 16th · 27 pts
Sevilla edged xG (1.69–1.44) but Celta Vigo took the win.
Player of the matchÓscar MinguezaDecisive moment78' Jørgen Strand Larsen+1.5
Player of the match
Óscar Mingueza Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Sevilla ahead 54 min · level 24 min · Celta Vigo ahead 12 min
- Carles Pérez — off the bench 62 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
18'
Youssef En-Nesyri
Goal
+0.8
72'
Carles Pérez
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Iago Aspas +0.3
+0.9
78'
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Jonathan Bamba +0.5
+1.5
Sevilla
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −2.3Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Celta Vigo
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
SevillaCelta Vigo
35%Possession65%
1.69Expected goals (xG)1.44
0.15xG per shot0.08
11Shots18
4Shots on target5
36%Shots on target %28%
9Shots in box11
355Passes649
81%Pass accuracy90%
3Corners8
3Saves3
13Fouls6
4Yellow cards0
1Offsides3
Compared with usual
Sevilla
last 18 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.69 | 0.86 | |
| xG against | 1.44 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 11 | 10.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.9 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 12.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 35% | 49.5% | |
| Passes | 355 | 456.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80.1% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 12.1 |
Celta Vigo
last 21 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.44 | 0.98 | |
| xG against | 1.69 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 18 | 11.6 | |
| On target | 5 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 12.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 65% | 44.5% | |
| Passes | 649 | 379.7 | high |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 73% | high |
| Corners | 8 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 13 |
Timeline
- 18' Goal Youssef En-Nesyri league goal #10
- 28' Sub Javier Manquillo → Carles Pérez
- 29' Yellow Marcos Acuña
- 29' Yellow Sergio Ramos
- 56' Yellow Jesús Navas
- 61' Sub Youssef En-Nesyri → Dodi Lukebakio
- 61' Sub Lucas Ocampos → Suso
- 68' Sub Hugo Sotelo → Carl Starfelt
- 68' Sub Carlos Domínguez → Jailson
- 72' Goal Carles Pérez league goal #1 assist Iago Aspas
- 75' Sub Óliver Torres → Joan Jordán
- 75' Sub Nemanja Gudelj → Adrià Pedrosa
- 76' Sub Hugo Álvarez → Damián Rodríguez
- 76' Sub Unai Núñez → Franco Cervi
- 78' Goal Jørgen Strand Larsen league goal #10 assist Jonathan Bamba
- 83' VAR Dodi Lukebakio
- 89' Sub Marcos Acuña → Erik Lamela
- 90+3' Yellow Boubakary Soumaré
Category leaders
- Key passesHugo Sotelo5
- Duels wonÓscar Mingueza7/8
- DribblesHugo Álvarez4/4
- Defensive actionsSergio Ramos6
- ShotsJørgen Strand Larsen4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonIago Aspas4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.