Chelsea 2-2 Burnley
Key numbers
- Possession 69% – 31%
- Shots 33 (13 on target) – 18 (7)
- Decisive moment: 78' Cole Palmer, FN xPts +1.4
Cole Palmer 44' (pen)
Cole Palmer 78'
Cole Palmer 78'
HT 1:0
Josh Cullen 47'
Dara O'Shea 81'
Dara O'Shea 81'
Chelsea 11th · 40 pts|Burnley 19th · 18 pts
2-2 draw, with xG at 4.26–1.64.
Player of the matchCole PalmerDecisive moment78' Cole Palmer+1.4
Player of the match
Cole Palmer Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 6 min · level 84 min · Burnley ahead 0 min
- Burnley: Red card 40' → ~50 min a player down
- Raheem Sterling — off the bench 17 min · 0G 1A
- Josh Brownhill — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
40'
Lorenz Assignon
Red card
−0.3
44'
Cole Palmer
Pen goal
+0.8
47'
Josh Cullen
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Josh Brownhill +0.2
+0.6
78'
Cole Palmer
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Raheem Sterling +0.4
+1.4
81'
Dara O'Shea
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Josh Cullen +0.3
+0.9
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −1.0→ League points won 1
Burnley
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaBurnley
69%Possession31%
4.26Expected goals (xG)1.64
0.13xG per shot0.09
33Shots18
13Shots on target7
39%Shots on target %39%
22Shots in box14
630Passes271
90%Pass accuracy75%
12Corners4
4Saves11
12Fouls7
2Yellow cards4
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Chelsea
39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 4.26 | 1.3 | high |
| xG against | 1.64 | 1 | |
| Shots | 33 | 14.4 | high |
| On target | 13 | 5.6 | high |
| Shots faced | 18 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 69% | 59.3% | |
| Passes | 630 | 588.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 86.7% | |
| Corners | 12 | 5.5 | high |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.5 |
Burnley
33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| xG | 1.64 | 0.87 | |
| xG against | 4.26 | 1.6 | high |
| Shots | 18 | 10.5 | |
| On target | 7 | 3.3 | |
| Shots faced | 33 | 14.5 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 31% | 47.8% | |
| Passes | 271 | 441.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 78.5% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.4 |
Timeline
- 16' Yellow Lorenz Assignon
- 23' VAR Axel Disasi
- 35' Yellow Marc Cucurella
- 40' Second yellow Lorenz Assignon
- 44' Goal Cole Palmer (pen) league goal #12
- 45' Sub Zeki Amdouni → Charlie Taylor
- 45+1' Yellow Conor Gallagher
- 45+3' Yellow Josh Cullen
- 46' Sub Jacob Bruun Larsen → Josh Brownhill
- 47' Goal Josh Cullen league goal #1 assist Josh Brownhill
- 62' Sub Conor Gallagher → Noni Madueke
- 69' Sub Lyle Foster → Jay Rodriguez
- 70' Sub Wilson Odobert → Jóhann Guðmundsson
- 73' Sub Moisés Caicedo → Raheem Sterling
- 78' Goal Cole Palmer league goal #13 assist Raheem Sterling
- 81' Goal Dara O'Shea league goal #2 assist Josh Cullen
- 87' Sub Malo Gusto → Alfie Gilchrist
- 90+2' Yellow Maxime Estève
Category leaders
- Key passesMalo Gusto5
- Duels wonMykhaylo Mudryk10/14
- DribblesMykhaylo Mudryk6/8
- Defensive actionsJosh Brownhill7
- ShotsCole Palmer7 (on target 4)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.