Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace
Key numbers
- Possession 58% – 42%
- Shots 12 (5 on target) – 10 (3)
- Decisive moment: 61' Chris Wood, FN xPts +0.9
Chris Wood 61'
HT 0:1
Jean-Philippe Mateta 11'
Nottingham Forest 17th · 26 pts|Crystal Palace 15th · 30 pts
1-1 draw, with xG at 0.92–1.19.
Player of the matchEberechi EzeDecisive moment61' Chris Wood+0.9
Player of the match
Eberechi Eze Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 40 min · Crystal Palace ahead 50 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
11'
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Eberechi Eze +0.2
+0.8
61'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.3
+0.9
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.7→ League points won 1
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.2Time effect +0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestCrystal Palace
58%Possession42%
0.92Expected goals (xG)1.19
0.08xG per shot0.12
12Shots10
5Shots on target3
42%Shots on target %30%
6Shots in box6
547Passes397
84%Pass accuracy76%
4Corners6
2Saves4
14Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
4Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
last 7 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.92 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.19 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 12 | 13 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 13.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 58% | 38.9% | |
| Passes | 547 | 344.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 78.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.1 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 12.4 |
Crystal Palace
32 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.19 | 1 | |
| xG against | 0.92 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 10 | 11.7 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.1 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 42% | 42.2% | |
| Passes | 397 | 397.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 77.5% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 11.8 |
Timeline
- 11' Goal Jean-Philippe Mateta league goal #6 assist Eberechi Eze
- 46' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Anthony Elanga
- 49' Yellow Felipe
- 60' Sub Divock Origi → Giovanni Reyna
- 61' Goal Chris Wood league goal #10 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 66' Sub Jordan Ayew → Jeffrey Schlupp
- 70' Yellow Jeffrey Schlupp
- 80' Sub Adam Wharton → Will Hughes
- 84' Sub Ola Aina → Harry Toffolo
- 90+4' Sub Tyrick Mitchell → Nathaniel Clyne
Category leaders
- Key passesMorgan Gibbs-White4
- Duels wonFelipe12/15
- DribblesCallum Hudson-Odoi2/4
- Defensive actionsFelipe6
- ShotsChris Wood3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonMorgan Gibbs-White4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.