Nottingham Forest 3-1 Fulham
Key numbers
- Possession 33% – 67%
- Shots 16 (4 on target) – 18 (3)
- Decisive moment: 9' Callum Hudson-Odoi, FN xPts +0.7
Callum Hudson-Odoi 9'
Chris Wood 19'
Morgan Gibbs-White 45+3'
Chris Wood 19'
Morgan Gibbs-White 45+3'
HT 3:0
Tosin Adarabioyo 49'
Nottingham Forest 17th → 16th · 29 pts|Fulham 12th · 39 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.53–1.5).
Player of the matchMorgan Gibbs-WhiteDecisive moment9' Callum Hudson-Odoi+0.7
Player of the match
Morgan Gibbs-White Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 81 min · level 9 min · Fulham ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
9'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.2
+0.7
19'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Murillo +0.2
+0.5
45+3'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · assist Danilo
+0.1
49'
Tosin Adarabioyo
Goal · assist Andreas Pereira
+0.1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −0.1Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Fulham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −1.2Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestFulham
33%Possession67%
1.53Expected goals (xG)1.5
0.1xG per shot0.08
16Shots18
4Shots on target3
25%Shots on target %17%
9Shots in box15
324Passes629
78%Pass accuracy88%
3Corners8
2Saves1
7Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
2Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
last 8 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 | high |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.53 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.5 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 16 | 12.9 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 13.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 33% | 41.3% | |
| Passes | 324 | 370 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79.5% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4.1 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 12.6 |
Fulham
38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.5 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 1.53 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 18 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 13.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 67% | 51% | |
| Passes | 629 | 492 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 81.2% | |
| Corners | 8 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 9.8 |
Timeline
- 9' Goal Callum Hudson-Odoi league goal #5 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 19' Goal Chris Wood league goal #11 assist Murillo
- 33' Sub Alex Iwobi → Adama Traoré
- 33' Sub Harry Wilson → Willian
- 33' Sub Saša Lukić → Tom Cairney
- 45+3' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #4 assist Danilo
- 49' Goal Tosin Adarabioyo league goal #2 assist Andreas Pereira
- 69' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Divock Origi
- 71' Sub Andreas Pereira → Bobby Decordova-Reid
- 71' Sub João Palhinha → Harrison Reed
- 77' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Giovanni Reyna
- 83' Sub Anthony Elanga → Nicolás Domínguez
- 83' Sub Ola Aina → Harry Toffolo
Category leaders
- Key passesAndreas Pereira7
- Duels wonOla Aina7/9
- DribblesOla Aina3/3
- Defensive actionsDanilo7
- ShotsRodrigo Muniz5 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonOla Aina3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.