Chelsea 4-3 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 57% – 43%
- Shots 28 (10 on target) – 19 (5)
- Decisive moment: 90+11' Cole Palmer, FN xPts +1.9
Conor Gallagher 4'
Cole Palmer 19' (pen)
Cole Palmer 90+10' (pen)
Cole Palmer 90+11'
Cole Palmer 19' (pen)
Cole Palmer 90+10' (pen)
Cole Palmer 90+11'
HT 2:2
Alejandro Garnacho 34'
Bruno Fernandes 39'
Alejandro Garnacho 67'
Bruno Fernandes 39'
Alejandro Garnacho 67'
Chelsea 12th → 10th · 43 pts|Manchester United 6th · 48 pts
Chelsea won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.02–1.47).
Player of the matchCole PalmerDecisive moment90+11' Cole Palmer+1.9
Player of the match
Cole Palmer Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.7 (Dominant)
Game state
Chelsea ahead 35 min · level 32 min · Manchester United ahead 23 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
4'
Conor Gallagher
Goal
+0.7
19'
Cole Palmer
Pen goal
+0.4
34'
Alejandro Garnacho
Goal
+0.3
39'
Bruno Fernandes
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Diogo Dalot +0.2
+0.7
67'
Alejandro Garnacho
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Antony +0.4
+1.2
90+10'
Cole Palmer
Pen goal
+1.0
90+11'
Cole Palmer
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Enzo Fernández +0.6
+1.9
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +4.0Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −3.8Time effect +0.5→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ChelseaManchester United
57%Possession43%
3.02Expected goals (xG)1.47
0.11xG per shot0.08
28Shots19
10Shots on target5
36%Shots on target %26%
19Shots in box13
549Passes426
86%Pass accuracy80%
12Corners3
2Saves6
7Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Chelsea
40 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 3.02 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.47 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 28 | 14.9 | |
| On target | 10 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 12.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 57% | 59.5% | |
| Passes | 549 | 589.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86.8% | |
| Corners | 12 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.5 |
Manchester United
41 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.47 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 3.02 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 19 | 15 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.3 | |
| Shots faced | 28 | 16.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 43% | 51.4% | |
| Passes | 426 | 481.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82.3% | |
| Corners | 3 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 10.8 |
Timeline
- 4' Goal Conor Gallagher league goal #3
- 19' Goal Cole Palmer (pen) league goal #14
- 32' Yellow Malo Gusto
- 34' Goal Alejandro Garnacho league goal #6
- 35' Yellow Enzo Fernández
- 39' Goal Bruno Fernandes league goal #5 assist Diogo Dalot
- 46' Sub Raphaël Varane → Jonny Evans
- 66' Sub Rasmus Højlund → Marcus Rashford
- 66' Sub Jonny Evans → Willy Kambwala
- 67' Goal Alejandro Garnacho league goal #7 assist Antony
- 71' Sub Mykhaylo Mudryk → Raheem Sterling
- 71' Sub Moisés Caicedo → Carney Chukwuemeka
- 75' Sub Malo Gusto → Alfie Gilchrist
- 75' Sub Axel Disasi → Trevoh Chalobah
- 75' Sub Casemiro → Scott McTominay
- 86' Sub Alejandro Garnacho → Mason Mount
- 89' Sub Conor Gallagher → Noni Madueke
- 90+10' Goal Cole Palmer (pen) league goal #15
- 90+11' Goal Cole Palmer league goal #16 assist Enzo Fernández
- 90+13' Yellow Harry Maguire
Category leaders
- Key passesCole Palmer8
- Duels wonAntony9/16
- DribblesAntony6/6
- Defensive actionsAaron Wan-Bissaka8
- ShotsCole Palmer5 (on target 5)
- Fouls wonMarc Cucurella3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.