Nottingham Forest 2-2 Wolves
Key numbers
- Possession 46% – 54%
- Shots 18 (9 on target) – 11 (4)
- Decisive moment: 57' Danilo, FN xPts +1.1
Morgan Gibbs-White 45+1'
Danilo 57'
Danilo 57'
HT 1:1
Matheus Cunha 40'
Matheus Cunha 62'
Matheus Cunha 62'
Nottingham Forest 17th → 15th · 30 pts|Wolves 11th · 43 pts
2-2 draw, with xG at 1.92–1.09.
Player of the matchDaniloDecisive moment57' Danilo+1.1
Player of the match
Danilo Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 5 min · level 80 min · Wolves ahead 5 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
40'
Matheus Cunha
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist José Sá +0.3
+1.0
45+1'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Giovanni Reyna +0.3
+0.9
57'
Danilo
Goal
+1.1
62'
Matheus Cunha
Goal
+0.8
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −2.0Time effect −0.8→ League points won 1
Wolves
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −1.8Time effect 0.0→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestWolves
46%Possession54%
1.92Expected goals (xG)1.09
0.11xG per shot0.1
18Shots11
9Shots on target4
50%Shots on target %36%
13Shots in box8
438Passes525
82%Pass accuracy86%
10Corners1
1Saves7
15Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
last 10 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.92 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.09 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 18 | 13.2 | |
| On target | 9 | 4.6 | high |
| Shots faced | 11 | 14 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 46% | 39.9% | |
| Passes | 438 | 366.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 79.7% | |
| Corners | 10 | 3.8 | high |
| Fouls | 15 | 12 |
Wolves
last 14 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.09 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 1.92 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 11 | 12.1 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 14.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 54% | 48.5% | |
| Passes | 525 | 465.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 82.6% | |
| Corners | 1 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11.7 |
Timeline
- 30' Yellow Mario Lemina
- 40' Goal Matheus Cunha league goal #10 assist José Sá
- 45+1' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #5 assist Giovanni Reyna
- 45+2' Yellow Matheus Cunha
- 52' Yellow João Gomes
- 57' Goal Danilo league goal #2
- 59' Sub Matt Doherty → Hee-Chan Hwang
- 59' Sub João Gomes → Hugo Bueno
- 62' Goal Matheus Cunha league goal #11
- 66' Sub Ryan Yates → Nicolás Domínguez
- 71' Sub Giovanni Reyna → Divock Origi
- 76' Sub Matheus Cunha → Boubacar Traoré
- 77' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 88' Sub Pablo Sarabia → Nathan Fraser
- 88' Sub Nélson Semedo → Tawanda Chirewa
- 89' Sub Ola Aina → Nuno Tavares
- 89' Sub Danilo → Rodrigo Ribeiro
- 90+5' Yellow Murillo
Category leaders
- Key passesDanilo3
- Duels wonMorgan Gibbs-White10/17
- DribblesMorgan Gibbs-White3/6
- Defensive actionsOla Aina6
- ShotsDanilo3 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonMatheus Cunha4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.