Arsenal 0-2 Aston Villa
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 18 (4 on target) – 11 (2)
- Decisive moment: 84' Leon Bailey, FN xPts +1.6
HT 0:0
Leon Bailey 84'
Ollie Watkins 87'
Ollie Watkins 87'
Arsenal 2nd · 71 pts|Aston Villa 4th · 63 pts
Arsenal edged xG (1.64–0.94) but Aston Villa took the win.
Player of the matchYouri TielemansDecisive moment84' Leon Bailey+1.6
Player of the match
Youri Tielemans Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Arsenal ahead 0 min · level 84 min · Aston Villa ahead 6 min
- Leon Bailey — off the bench 29 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
84'
Leon Bailey
Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Lucas Digne +0.5
+1.6
87'
Ollie Watkins
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Youri Tielemans +0.1
+0.3
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +1.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ArsenalAston Villa
52%Possession48%
1.64Expected goals (xG)0.94
0.09xG per shot0.09
18Shots11
4Shots on target2
22%Shots on target %18%
11Shots in box6
450Passes425
87%Pass accuracy83%
4Corners6
0Saves4
12Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
5Offsides1
Compared with usual
Arsenal
43 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.84 | |
| xG | 1.64 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.94 | 0.68 | |
| Shots | 18 | 15.6 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 8.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 52% | 59.7% | |
| Passes | 450 | 565.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 86.2% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.7 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 10.8 |
Aston Villa
47 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 0.94 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.64 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 11 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 2 | 5.5 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 9.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 48% | 56% | |
| Passes | 425 | 487.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85.9% | |
| Corners | 6 | 6.3 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 11 |
Timeline
- 14' Yellow Morgan Rogers
- 36' Yellow Benjamin White
- 45' Yellow Gabriel Magalhães
- 61' Sub Moussa Diaby → Leon Bailey
- 63' Yellow Kai Havertz
- 67' Sub Leandro Trossard → Gabriel Martinelli
- 67' Sub Benjamin White → Takehiro Tomiyasu
- 79' Sub Gabriel Jesus → Jorginho
- 79' Sub Martin Ødegaard → Emile Smith Rowe
- 79' Sub Nicolò Zaniolo → Álex Moreno
- 84' Goal Leon Bailey league goal #9 assist Lucas Digne
- 87' Sub Oleksandr Zinchenko → Edward Nketiah
- 87' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #19 assist Youri Tielemans
Category leaders
- Key passesBukayo Saka3
- Duels wonJohn McGinn7/11
- DribblesMartin Ødegaard3/5
- Defensive actionsBenjamin White8
- ShotsBukayo Saka4 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonBukayo Saka3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.